Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Dellien will play each other in the semifinal of the Rosario Challenger for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.39
Murkel Dellien -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Murkel Dellien
This will be the 8th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Dellien clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 6-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Ugo Carabelli won 6-7(4) 7-5 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Montevideo Challenger back in 2024.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
6 - 2win/loss
65
61
LWWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-8 | 3-3 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, Camilo reached the semifinal after beating Diego Schwartzman 4-6 6-3 6-4, Guido Ivan Justo 7-5 2-6 7-5 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 3-6 6-1 6-0.
In the quarter against Pablo Ficovich, Ugo Carabelli recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-0). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 75 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 54. Camilo was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli recorded 3 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ugo Carabelli broke Pablo Ficovich 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 3 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (351-200). 5-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a composed 318-169 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Murkel Dellien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-31 | 1-1 | 47-29 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-32 | 0-0 | 49-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-28 | 1-4 | 54-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-13 | 3-2 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, Murkel got to the semifinal after defeating Mateus Alves 7-5 3-6 6-1, Felipe Meligeni Alves 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-6(6) 4-6 7-5.
In the quarter, Alejandro Dellien Velasco defeated Manuel Cerundolo (7-66 4-6 7-5).During the match Alejandro Dellien Velasco scored less points (1) than Manuel Cerundolo. In fact, the world no. 110 won 108 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s. That means that Alejandro Dellien Velasco was more focused during the important points. Murkel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Alejandro Dellien Velasco scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Murkel Dellien lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro Dellien Velasco put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (49/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (14/36) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro Dellien Velasco broke Manuel Cerundolo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Murkel has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Bolivian has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 95 |
| Pts | 265-238 | 314-295 |
| Total Points | 503 | 609 |
| Winners | 110 | 146 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Alejandro Dellien Velasco played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 3 sets, while Murkel Dellien dropped 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Alejandro Dellien Velasco have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ugo Carabelli played 12 games less than Alejandro Dellien Velasco. Camilo scored 110 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Bolivian fired 146 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 162/253 | 196/283 |
| %1st in | 64% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 110/162 | 146/196 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 47/91 | 39/87 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 45% |
Ugo Carabelli bagged 9 aces (3 per match). Alejandro Dellien Velasco made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro Dellien Velasco won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 10 |
| Converted | 15/25 | 10/29 |
| % Converted | 60% | 34% |
| Conceded | 22 | 20 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 55% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 8 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 10 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro Dellien Velasco broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. Murkel conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Schwartzman |
R2 Ivan Justo |
1/4 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | 3-6 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 32 | 22 | 83 | |
| pts | 96-87 | 94-97 | 75-54 | 265-238 | |
| Total points | 183 | 191 | 129 | 503 | |
| Winners | 42 | 40 | 28 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 61/95 | 62/94 | 39/64 | 162/253 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 40/62 | 28/39 | 110/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 65% | 72% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 16/32 | 16/25 | 47/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 50% | 64% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/10 | 5/6 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 83% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 5/10 | 1/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 50% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| Alejandro Dellien Velasco | |||||
| R1 Alves |
R2 Meligeni |
1/4 Manuel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-1 | 4-6 7-62 6-3 | 7-66 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 32 | 35 | 95 | |
| pts | 100-88 | 106-98 | 108-109 | 314-295 | |
| Total points | 188 | 204 | 217 | 609 | |
| Winners | 47 | 50 | 49 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 1 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/82 | 67/97 | 68/104 | 196/283 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 69% | 65% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 50/67 | 49/68 | 146/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 75% | 72% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 15/30 | 14/36 | 39/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 39% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/9 | 5/10 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 22% | 50% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 5/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 50% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWWL
WLLWLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Rosario Challenger
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (3-6 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Francisco ComesanaComesana (7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Murkel DellienDellien – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (7-66 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Francisco ComesanaComesana (7-6(7) 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (3-6 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Murkel DellienDellien – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (7-6(6) 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Hugo DellienDellien (3-0) – H2H and prediction
