Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pol Martin Tiffon will face off in the semifinal of the Tenerife 1 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.21
Pol Martin Tiffon -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Pol Martin Tiffon

There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pol Martin Tiffon since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 149, Carreno-Busta reached the semifinal after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-0 7-6(2)

, Giovanni Fonio 6-1 6-2 and Vilius Gaubas 4-6 6-3 7-6(3).

In the quarter against Gaubas, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-6³). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 99 points vs Gaubas’s 94. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 76% of his first serves in, winning 67% (49/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Gaubas 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (257-173). 5-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 120-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger

Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Ranked no. 252, Pol reached the semifinal after defeating Pedro Cachin 2-6 6-4 6-2, Javier Barranco Cosano 6-2 6-4 and Johannus Monday 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Martin had a good straight sets win against Monday (7-5 6-2). During the match Martin scored 71 points vs Monday’s 58. Martin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Martin blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pol Martin Tiffon was very efficient on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Martin broke Monday 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Spaniard has an overall 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Carreno-Busta	Martin
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	66	64
Pts	238-193	218-183
Total Points	431	401
Winners	105	89
%Winners	44%	41%

Both Carreno-Busta and Martin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Pol Martin Tiffon conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Martin have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Carreno-Busta played 2 games more than Martin. Carreno-Busta scored 105 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 89 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Carreno-Busta	Martin
Aces	10	12
Avg per match	3.3	4
1st in	158/212	122/210
%1st in	75%	58%
1st pts	105/158	89/122
%1st pts	66%	73%
2nd pts	32/54	49/88
%2nd pts	59%	56%

Carreno-Busta bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Martin blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Carreno-Busta won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Martin won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Carreno-Busta	Martin
Won	13	11
Converted	13/33	11/23
% Converted	39%	48%
Conceded	13	16
Saved	7	12
% Saved	54%	75%
Times Broken	6	4

Pablo broke his opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. Martin broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Arnaboldi	R2 Fonio	1/4 Gaubas	Total
Score	6-0 7-62	6-1 6-2	4-6 6-3 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	15	32	66
pts	83-62	56-37	99-94	238-193
Total points	145	93	193	431
Winners	32	24	49	105
%Winners	39%	43%	49%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	8	10
Double Faults	0	0	2	2
1st in	50/69	35/47	73/96	158/212
% 1st in	72%	74%	76%	75%
1st pts	32/50	24/35	49/73	105/158
% 1st pts	64%	69%	67%	66%
2nd pts	12/19	10/12	10/23	32/54
% 2nd pts	63%	83%	43%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/11	4/10	4/12	13/33
Converted %	45%	40%	33%	39%
Conceded	6	1	6	13
Saved	4/6	1/1	2/6	7
Saved %	67%	100%	33%	67%
Times Broken	2	0	4	6

Martin
	R1 Cachin	R2 Barranco Cosano	1/4 Monday	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-2	6-2 6-4	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	26	18	20	64
pts	84-82	63-43	71-58	218-183
Total points	166	106	129	401
Winners	35	23	31	89
%Winners	42%	37%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	4	12
Double Faults	4	2	1	7
1st in	49/90	31/56	42/64	122/210
% 1st in	54%	55%	66%	58%
1st pts	35/49	23/31	31/42	89/122
% 1st pts	71%	74%	74%	73%
2nd pts	19/41	16/25	14/22	49/88
% 2nd pts	46%	64%	64%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/7	4/5	3/11	11/23
Converted %	57%	80%	27%	48%
Conceded	10	2	4	16
Saved	7/10	1/2	4/4	12
Saved %	70%	50%	100%	73%
Times Broken	3	1	0	4

Tennis Scores in Tenerife 1 Challenger

• Inigo Cervantes/Daniel RinconCervantes/Daniel Rincon – Marco Bortolotti/Luis David MartinezBortolotti/Luis David Martinez (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction