Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pol Martin Tiffon will face off in the semifinal of the Tenerife 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.21
Pol Martin Tiffon -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Pol Martin Tiffon
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pol Martin Tiffon since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149, Carreno-Busta reached the semifinal after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-0 7-6(2), Giovanni Fonio 6-1 6-2 and Vilius Gaubas 4-6 6-3 7-6(3).
In the quarter against Gaubas, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-63). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 99 points vs Gaubas’s 94. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 76% of his first serves in, winning 67% (49/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Gaubas 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (257-173). 5-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 120-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.
Pol Martin Tiffon
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-27 | 4-2 | 65-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 5-2 | 30-20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 0-1 | 38-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-27 | 0-0 | 39-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 252, Pol reached the semifinal after defeating Pedro Cachin 2-6 6-4 6-2, Javier Barranco Cosano 6-2 6-4 and Johannus Monday 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter, Martin had a good straight sets win against Monday (7-5 6-2). During the match Martin scored 71 points vs Monday’s 58. Martin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Martin blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pol Martin Tiffon was very efficient on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Martin broke Monday 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has an overall 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 64 |
| Pts | 238-193 | 218-183 |
| Total Points | 431 | 401 |
| Winners | 105 | 89 |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Martin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Pol Martin Tiffon conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Martin have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Carreno-Busta played 2 games more than Martin. Carreno-Busta scored 105 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 89 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 158/212 | 122/210 |
| %1st in | 75% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 105/158 | 89/122 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 32/54 | 49/88 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 56% |
Carreno-Busta bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Martin blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Carreno-Busta won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Martin won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 11 |
| Converted | 13/33 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 39% | 48% |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 12 |
| % Saved | 54% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 |
Pablo broke his opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. Martin broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | |||||
| R1 Arnaboldi |
R2 Fonio |
1/4 Gaubas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-62 | 6-1 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 32 | 66 | |
| pts | 83-62 | 56-37 | 99-94 | 238-193 | |
| Total points | 145 | 93 | 193 | 431 | |
| Winners | 32 | 24 | 49 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/69 | 35/47 | 73/96 | 158/212 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 74% | 76% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 32/50 | 24/35 | 49/73 | 105/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 10/12 | 10/23 | 32/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 83% | 43% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/10 | 4/12 | 13/33 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 40% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/1 | 2/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 33% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Martin | |||||
| R1 Cachin |
R2 Barranco Cosano |
1/4 Monday |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 20 | 64 | |
| pts | 84-82 | 63-43 | 71-58 | 218-183 | |
| Total points | 166 | 106 | 129 | 401 | |
| Winners | 35 | 23 | 31 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 49/90 | 31/56 | 42/64 | 122/210 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 55% | 66% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 23/31 | 31/42 | 89/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 74% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/41 | 16/25 | 14/22 | 49/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 64% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/5 | 3/11 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 80% | 27% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 50% | 100% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LLLLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Tenerife 1 Challenger
- Inigo Cervantes/Daniel RinconCervantes/Daniel Rincon – Marco Bortolotti/Luis David MartinezBortolotti/Luis David Martinez (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
