Alex De Minaur and Mattia Bellucci will clash against each other in the semifinal of the ABN AMRO Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.198
Mattia Bellucci -> 4.6
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Mattia Bellucci
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-12 | 12-5 | 10-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Alex got to the semifinal after defeating David Goffin 6-2 6-4, Jakub Mensik 6-4 6-4 and Daniel Altmaier 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Alex had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-1 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 67 points vs Altmaier’s 47. De Minaur was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Altmaier 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (369-206). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a composed 71-44 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Alex has an aggregate 10-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-20 | 2-7 | 3-7 | 6-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92 (career-high), Bellucci got to the semifinal after beating Thijs Boogaard 6-3 6-1, Gijs Brouwer 6-1 6-1, Mees Rottgering 6-3 6-2, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 6-2). During the match Bellucci scored 65 points vs Tsitsipas’s 50. Mattia was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Bellucci managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bellucci broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Mattia has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 96 |
| Pts | 214-160 | 365-277 |
| Total Points | 374 | 642 |
| Winners | 69 | 152 |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% |
De Minaur played 3 matches while Bellucci competed in 5 matches. Bellucci started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci conceded 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Minaur has played 5 set(s) less than Bellucci (6 vs 11). Therefore, De Minaur played 41 games less than Bellucci. Alex scored 69 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Mattia blasted 152 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.6 |
| 1st in | 89/166 | 201/327 |
| %1st in | 54% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 69/89 | 152/201 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 53/77 | 72/126 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 57% |
De Minaur bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Bellucci blasted 28 aces (5.6 per match). De Minaur won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 19 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 19/40 |
| % Converted | 35% | 48% |
| Conceded | 8 | 22 |
| Saved | 7 | 20 |
| % Saved | 88% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Alex broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Bellucci broke his opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Goffin |
R2 Mensik |
1/4 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 17 | 55 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 74-54 | 67-47 | 214-160 | |
| Total points | 132 | 128 | 114 | 374 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 20 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 39% | 30% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/60 | 35/52 | 26/54 | 89/166 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 67% | 48% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 29/35 | 20/26 | 69/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 83% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 13/17 | 18/28 | 53/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 76% | 64% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/8 | 4/8 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 25% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 80% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bellucci | |||||||
| Q1 Boogaard |
Q3 Brouwer |
R1 Rottgering |
R2 Medvedev |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-76 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 | 17 | 31 | 18 | 96 | |
| pts | 59-36 | 54-25 | 74-55 | 113-111 | 65-50 | 365-277 | |
| Total points | 95 | 79 | 129 | 224 | 115 | 642 | |
| Winners | 21 | 19 | 31 | 56 | 25 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 42% | 50% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 23/44 | 21/36 | 39/59 | 85/131 | 33/57 | 201/327 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 66% | 65% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 19/21 | 31/39 | 56/85 | 25/33 | 152/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 90% | 79% | 66% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 10/15 | 9/20 | 25/46 | 16/24 | 72/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 67% | 45% | 54% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/8 | 4/9 | 3/8 | 3/10 | 19/40 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 63% | 44% | 38% | 30% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 11/12 | 4/4 | 20 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 83% | 92% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLWWL
WWWLLLLLLL Tennis Scores in Rotterdam
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Sander Gille/Jan ZielinskiGille/Jan Zielinski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (7-65 7-63) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (3-0) – H2H and prediction
