Tommy Paul and Reilly Opelka will fight against each other in the quarter of the Dallas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.49
Reilly Opelka -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Reilly Opelka
This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Reilly Opelka face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Opelka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Opelka won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in the Champaign Challenger back in 2018.
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Paul reached the quarter after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-7(6) 6-3 6-4 and Ethan Quinn 6-4 5-7 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Tommy defeated Quinn (6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 93 points vs Quinn’s 90. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tommy Paul was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (41/54) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Quinn 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has conceded 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (353-203). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a composed 59-34 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Paul’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The American has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dallas
Reilly Opelka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-28 | 14-11 | 5-6 | 7-6 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 14-11 | 6-4 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, the American got to the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 7-6(3) 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Norrie, Reilly recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4).During the match Opelka scored less points (1) than Norrie. In fact, the world no. 9 won 101 points vs Norrie’s. That means that Opelka was more focused during the important points. The American was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Opelka scored 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Reilly Opelka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (47/58) of his 1st serve and 56% (25/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Reilly broke Norrie once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Reilly has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Brisbane.
The American has an overall 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dallas
Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2019 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 56 |
| Pts | 203-186 | 168-159 |
| Total Points | 389 | 327 |
| Winners | 86 | 81 |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Paul and Opelka played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 2 sets, while Reilly Opelka surrendered 1 set. Paul has played 1 set more than Opelka (6 vs 5). Therefore, Paul played 8 games more than Opelka. Paul scored 86 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Reilly made 81 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 18 |
| 1st in | 116/187 | 99/166 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 86/116 | 81/99 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 38/71 | 40/67 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 60% |
Paul fired 16 aces (8 per match). Opelka scored 36 aces (18 per match). Paul won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Opelka won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 2 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 56% | 40% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 55% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Tommy surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Opelka broke his opponents twice with a 40% conversion rate. Opelka conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R1 Brooksby |
R2 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | 64 | |
| pts | 110-96 | 93-90 | 203-186 | |
| Total points | 206 | 183 | 389 | |
| Winners | 45 | 41 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 62/98 | 54/89 | 116/187 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 45/62 | 41/54 | 86/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 20/35 | 38/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/6 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 0/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Opelka | ||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 33 | 56 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 101-102 | 168-159 | |
| Total points | 124 | 203 | 327 | |
| Winners | 34 | 47 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | 58/103 | 99/166 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 56% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 47/58 | 81/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 25/45 | 40/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 56% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 1/4 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 25% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 83% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLLW
LLWLWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Dallas
- Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway – Rinky Hijikata/Alex MichelsenHijikata/Alex Michelsen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/John PeersMurray/John Peers – Sander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson (4-6 7-69 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
