H2H, prediction of Tomas Machac vs Denis Shapovalov in Dallas with odds, preview, pick | 7th February 2025

PREVIEW. Dallas. Machac and Shapovalov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Dallas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Friday the 7th of February

Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Denis Shapovalov

Tomas Machac and Denis Shapovalov will face off in the quarter of the Dallas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.52
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.53

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Denis Shapovalov

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Denis Shapovalov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac

7 - 4win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
3-1
Rank
23
High
20
LWWLLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-11 11-4 2-5 3-1 2-1 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Tomas got to the quarter after beating Kei Nishikori 6-2 6-2 and Rinky Hijikata 6-4 7-6(0).

In the 2nd round, Machac had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-4 7-60). During the match, Machac scored 71 points vs Hijikata’s 59. Machac was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Machac fired 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Czech broke Hijikata 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Machac has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 66% of his matches (264-134). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Machac has a compiled89-41 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.

Tomas’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.

Machac has an aggregate 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dallas

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

Machac
Dallas
Machac's Record

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov

5 - 3win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
3-0
Rank
31
High
10
LWLLWLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-13 7-6 2-5 5-0 1-2 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 54, the Canadian got to the quarter after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 and Taylor Fritz 2-6 6-3 7-6(2).

In the 2nd round against Fritz, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-62). During the match Shapovalov scored 93 points vs Fritz’s 91. Denis was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Shapovalov struck 15 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (45/60) of his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shapovalov broke Fritz once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Canadian has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Shapovalov
Dallas
Shapovalov's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Machac
D.Shapovalov
2h:29
2h:29
Time on court​
!
4h:03
4h:03
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
!
2h:03
2h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
128
128
Total points​
196
196
64
64
Avg point​
98
98
52
52
Winners
97
97
26
26
Avg Winners​
48.5
48.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
35
35
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
!
17.5
17.5
3
3
Double Faults
11
11
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
5.5
5.5
52/67
52/67
1st won total​
97/119
97/119
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
25/41
25/41
2nd won total​
42/81
42/81
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
7/15
7/15
BP won
4/8
4/8
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
Avg BP won
2/4
2/4
47%
47%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
14
14
3
3
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
3
3
1
1
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
4
4
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Shapovalov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 39 61
Pts 128-98 196-179
Total Points 226 375
Winners 52 97
%Winners 41% 49%

Both Machac and Shapovalov played 2 matches. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov surrendered 2 sets while Tomas Machac hasn’t conceded a set so far. Machac has played 2 set(s) less than Shapovalov (4 vs 6). Therefore, Machac played 22 games less than Shapovalov. Machac scored 52 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Shapovalov fired 97 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Shapovalov
Aces 17 35
Avg per match 8.5 17.5
1st in 67/108 119/200
%1st in 62% 60%
1st pts 52/67 97/119
%1st pts 78% 82%
2nd pts 25/41 42/81
%2nd pts 61% 52%

Machac managed to score 17 aces (8.5 per match). Shapovalov fired 35 aces (17.5 per match). Machac won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Shapovalov
Won 7 4
Converted 7/15 4/8
% Converted 47% 50%
Conceded 6 14
Saved 4 11
% Saved 67% 79%
Times Broken 2 3

The Czech broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Czech dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
R1
Nishikori
R2
Hijikata
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-4 7-60
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 23 39
pts 57-39 71-59 128-98
Total points 96 130 226
Winners 24 28 52
%Winners 42% 39% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 10 17
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 29/48 38/60 67/108
% 1st in 60% 63% 62%
1st pts 24/29 28/38 52/67
% 1st pts 83% 74% 78%
2nd pts 11/19 14/22 25/41
% 2nd pts 58% 64% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/7 3/8 7/15
Converted % 57% 38% 47%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 4/4 0/2 4
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Shapovalov
R1
Kecmanovic
R2
Fritz
Total
Score 6-3 6-75 6-3 2-6 6-3 7-62
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 30 61
pts 103-88 93-91 196-179
Total points 191 184 375
Winners 52 45 97
%Winners 50% 48% 49%
SERVE
Aces 20 15 35
Double Faults 4 7 11
1st in 59/98 60/102 119/200
% 1st in 60% 59% 60%
1st pts 52/59 45/60 97/119
% 1st pts 88% 75% 82%
2nd pts 19/39 23/42 42/81
% 2nd pts 49% 55% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4
Converted 3/6 1/2 4/8
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 5 9 14
Saved 4/5 7/9 11
Saved % 80% 78% 79%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Machac
LWWLLLWLLW
Shapovalov
LWLLWLLWLL
2025 2024 2023
17 - 11
15 - 13
11-4
Hard
7-6
2-1
I Hard
5-0
2-5
Clay
2-5
2-1
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores in Dallas

  • Jamie Murray/John PeersMurray/John PeersSander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson (4-6 7-69 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert GallowayRinky Hijikata/Alex MichelsenHijikata/Alex Michelsen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw