Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Ficovich will play each other in the quarter of the Rosario Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.57
Juan Pablo Ficovich -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Juan Pablo Ficovich

This will be the 5th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Ficovich clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pablo Ficovich (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Pablo Ficovich won 7-5 6-4

in the 3rd round in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in 2019.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

5 - 2win/loss

Hard
0-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-1
Rank
49
High
43
LWLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 5-9 27-14 1-3 0-3 0-0
2024 58-30 6-5 52-24 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 110, the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Diego Schwartzman 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Guido Ivan Justo 7-5 2-6 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Ugo Carabelli defeated Ivan Justo (7-5 2-6 7-5).During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored less points (3) than Ivan Justo. In fact, the world no. 110 won 94 points vs Ivan Justo’s. That means that Ugo Carabelli was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (40/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ivan Justo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (350-200). 4-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 317-169 record in the last years on clay.

Camilo has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rosario Challenger

Camilo has never competed in this tournament before.

Rosario Challenger
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Juan Pablo Ficovich

5 - 4win/loss

Hard
1-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-3
Rank
164
High
125
LLLWLLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-33 11-9 21-21 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 41-33 5-7 36-22 0-3 0-1 0-0
2023 27-33 15-13 11-18 0-1 1-1 0-0
2022 32-32 6-11 23-15 3-6 0-0 0-0
2021 16-16 2-3 14-12 0-0 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 183, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 6-4 and Damir Dzumhur 6-2 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-2 7-64). During the match Pablo Ficovich scored 76 points vs Dzumhur’s 61. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Pablo Ficovich blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Pablo Ficovich lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Ficovich put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Dzumhur 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Juan has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Rosario Challenger
Pablo Ficovich's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ugo Carabelli
J.Pablo Ficovich
4h:53
4h:53
Time on court​
3h:19
3h:19
!
2h:37
2h:37
Last match​
1h:51
1h:51
2
2
Match played
2
2
61
61
Games Played​
40
40
6
6
Set played​​
4
4
190
190
Total points​
136
136
95
95
Avg point​
68
68
82
82
Winners
49
49
41
41
Avg Winners​
24.5
24.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
7
7
3
3
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
82/123
82/123
1st won total​
49/72
49/72
67%
67%
1st won %
68%
68%
31/66
31/66
2nd won total​
30/43
30/43
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
70%
70%
-- Break Points --
10/19
10/19
BP won
7/15
7/15
5/9.5
5/9.5
Avg BP won
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
!
53%
53%
Won
47%
47%
20
20
Conceded
9
9
10
10
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
9
9
Broken
3
3
!
4.5
4.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
11
11
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ugo Carabelli Pablo Ficovich
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 4
Tot Games 61 40
Pts 190-184 136-109
Total Points 374 245
Winners 82 49
%Winners 43% 36%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Pablo Ficovich played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 2 sets while Juan Pablo Ficovich hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 sets more than Pablo Ficovich (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 21 games more than Pablo Ficovich. Ugo Carabelli scored 82 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine managed to score 49 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ugo Carabelli Pablo Ficovich
Aces 6 7
Avg per match 3 3.5
1st in 123/189 72/115
%1st in 65% 63%
1st pts 82/123 49/72
%1st pts 67% 68%
2nd pts 31/66 30/43
%2nd pts 47% 70%

Ugo Carabelli scored 6 aces (3 per match). Pablo Ficovich managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Ficovich won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ugo Carabelli Pablo Ficovich
Won 10 7
Converted 10/19 7/15
% Converted 53% 47%
Conceded 20 9
Saved 11 6
% Saved 55% 67%
Times Broken 9 3

Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Juan broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Pablo Ficovich conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
R1
Schwartzman
R2
Ivan Justo
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-5 2-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 29 32 61
pts 96-87 94-97 190-184
Total points 183 191 374
Winners 42 40 82
%Winners 44% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 6
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 61/95 62/94 123/189
% 1st in 64% 66% 65%
1st pts 42/61 40/62 82/123
% 1st pts 69% 65% 67%
2nd pts 15/34 16/32 31/66
% 2nd pts 44% 50% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/9 5/10 10/19
Converted % 56% 50% 53%
Conceded 10 10 20
Saved 6/10 5/10 11
Saved % 60% 50% 55%
Times Broken 4 5 9
Pablo Ficovich
R1
Andres Burruchaga
R2
Dzumhur
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 21 40
pts 60-48 76-61 136-109
Total points 108 137 245
Winners 25 24 49
%Winners 42% 32% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 7
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 37/54 35/61 72/115
% 1st in 69% 57% 63%
1st pts 25/37 24/35 49/72
% 1st pts 68% 69% 68%
2nd pts 12/17 18/26 30/43
% 2nd pts 71% 69% 70%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/5 4/10 7/15
Converted % 60% 40% 47%
Conceded 4 5 9
Saved 3/4 3/5 6
Saved % 75% 60% 68%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliJuan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (1-3) – H2H and prediction
  • Sebastian BaezBaezFrancesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel CerundoloMurkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (2-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Francisco ComesanaComesanaHugo DellienDellien (1-0) – H2H and prediction