Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Ficovich will play each other in the quarter of the Rosario Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.57
Juan Pablo Ficovich -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Juan Pablo Ficovich
This will be the 5th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Ficovich clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pablo Ficovich (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pablo Ficovich won 7-5 6-4
in the 3rd round in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in 2019.Camilo Ugo Carabelli
5 - 2win/loss
49
43
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Diego Schwartzman 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Guido Ivan Justo 7-5 2-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Ugo Carabelli defeated Ivan Justo (7-5 2-6 7-5).During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored less points (3) than Ivan Justo. In fact, the world no. 110 won 94 points vs Ivan Justo’s. That means that Ugo Carabelli was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (40/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ivan Justo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (350-200). 4-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 317-169 record in the last years on clay.
Camilo has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
Camilo has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Pablo Ficovich
5 - 4win/loss
164
125
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-33 | 11-9 | 21-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-33 | 5-7 | 36-22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-13 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-32 | 6-11 | 23-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 2-3 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 6-4 and Damir Dzumhur 6-2 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-2 7-64). During the match Pablo Ficovich scored 76 points vs Dzumhur’s 61. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Pablo Ficovich blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Pablo Ficovich lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Ficovich put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Dzumhur 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Juan has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Pablo Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 40 |
| Pts | 190-184 | 136-109 |
| Total Points | 374 | 245 |
| Winners | 82 | 49 |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Pablo Ficovich played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 2 sets while Juan Pablo Ficovich hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 sets more than Pablo Ficovich (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 21 games more than Pablo Ficovich. Ugo Carabelli scored 82 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine managed to score 49 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Pablo Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 123/189 | 72/115 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 82/123 | 49/72 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 31/66 | 30/43 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 70% |
Ugo Carabelli scored 6 aces (3 per match). Pablo Ficovich managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Ficovich won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Pablo Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 53% | 47% |
| Conceded | 20 | 9 |
| Saved | 11 | 6 |
| % Saved | 55% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 3 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Juan broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Pablo Ficovich conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Schwartzman | R2 Ivan Justo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| pts | 96-87 | 94-97 | 190-184 | |
| Total points | 183 | 191 | 374 | |
| Winners | 42 | 40 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 61/95 | 62/94 | 123/189 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 40/62 | 82/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 16/32 | 31/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/10 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 5/10 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Pablo Ficovich | ||||
| R1 Andres Burruchaga | R2 Dzumhur | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 60-48 | 76-61 | 136-109 | |
| Total points | 108 | 137 | 245 | |
| Winners | 25 | 24 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 35/61 | 72/115 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 24/35 | 49/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 18/26 | 30/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 69% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Hugo DellienDellien (1-0) – H2H and prediction