Sebastian Baez and Francesco Passaro will play each other in the quarter of the Rosario Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.31
Francesco Passaro -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Francesco Passaro
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Francesco Passaro since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Baez got to the quarter after beating Emilio Nava 6-3 6-3 and Gustavo Heide 7-6(1) 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Heide (7-61 7-65). During the match, Baez scored 78 points vs Heide’s 73. Baez was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Sebastian Baez was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Baez was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Heide once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (253-151). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has a composed 214-89 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Sebastian has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Passaro
7 - 4win/loss
97
89
LWWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, Passaro reached the quarter after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 2-6 6-3 6-3 and Andrea Collarini 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Collarini (7-64 6-3). During the match Passaro scored 69 points vs Collarini’s 53. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Passaro bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francesco Passaro lost the serve once. Furthermore, Passaro put 77% of his first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Collarini 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Passaro has an aggregate 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 48 |
| Pts | 147-130 | 154-132 |
| Total Points | 277 | 286 |
| Winners | 59 | 60 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Both Baez and Passaro played 2 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro conceded 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 1 set(s) less than Passaro (4 vs 5). Therefore, Baez played 4 games less than Passaro. Sebastian scored 59 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 60 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 92/136 | 85/135 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 59/92 | 60/85 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 30/44 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 60% |
Baez recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Passaro also recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Baez won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Passaro won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 55% | 38% |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 70% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Sebastian broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Baez lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Francesco broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Passaro conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Nava |
R2 Heide |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-61 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 | 44 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 78-73 | 147-130 | |
| Total points | 126 | 151 | 277 | |
| Winners | 22 | 37 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 50/76 | 92/136 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 22/42 | 37/50 | 59/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 52% | 74% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 16/26 | 30/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 62% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 1/1 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 0% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Passaro | ||||
| R1 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R2 Collarini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| pts | 85-79 | 69-53 | 154-132 | |
| Total points | 164 | 122 | 286 | |
| Winners | 26 | 34 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 49% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/83 | 40/52 | 85/135 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 77% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/45 | 34/40 | 60/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 85% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 6/12 | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 50% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/8 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 0/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLWWWWWW
LWWLWWLWLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Hugo DellienDellien (1-0) – H2H and prediction
