Pablo Carreno-Busta and Vilius Gaubas will play each other in the quarter of the Tenerife 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.121
Vilius Gaubas -> 5.45
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Vilius Gaubas
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Vilius Gaubas since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-0 7-6(2) and Giovanni Fonio 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Fonio (6-1 6-2). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 56 points vs Fonio’s 37. Pablo was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 74% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Fonio 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (256-173). 4-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 119-71 match record in the last years on hard.
Carreno-Busta has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.
Vilius Gaubas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 195, the Lithuanian got to the quarter after defeating Giulio Zeppieri w/o and Nicolas Alvarez Varona 4-6 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round against Alvarez Varona, Gaubas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-64). During the match Gaubas scored 106 points vs Alvarez Varona’s 105. The Lithuanian was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Gaubas blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 72% of his first serves in, winning 63% (48/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The Lithuanian broke Alvarez Varona 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Gaubas has a composed 1-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 33 |
| Pts | 139-99 | 106-105 |
| Total Points | 238 | 211 |
| Winners | 56 | 48 |
| %Winners | 40% | 45% |
Carreno-Busta played 2 matches while Gaubas competed in 1 match. At the moment, Vilius Gaubas dropped 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t lost a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 1 set more than Gaubas (4 vs 3). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 1 game more than Gaubas. Carreno-Busta scored 56 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Lithuanian fired 48 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 85/116 | 76/105 |
| %1st in | 73% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 56/85 | 48/76 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 15/29 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 52% |
Carreno-Busta scored 2 aces (1 per match). Gaubas bagged 2 aces . Carreno-Busta won 66% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Gaubas won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 5 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Lithuanian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Gaubas conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Arnaboldi |
R2 Fonio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-62 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 34 | |
| pts | 83-62 | 56-37 | 139-99 | |
| Total points | 145 | 93 | 238 | |
| Winners | 32 | 24 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 50/69 | 35/47 | 85/116 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 32/50 | 24/35 | 56/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 10/12 | 22/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 83% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/10 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Gaubas | ||||
| R1 Zeppieri |
R2 Alvarez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | w/o | 4-6 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | – | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | – | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | – | 106-105 | 106-105 | |
| Total points | – | 211 | 211 | |
| Winners | – | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | – | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | – | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | – | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | – | 76/105 | 76/105 | |
| % 1st in | – | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | – | 48/76 | 48/76 | |
| % 1st pts | – | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | – | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | – | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | – | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | – | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | – | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | – | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | – | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 38% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | – | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LLWWWWLLLL 
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