Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Guido Ivan Justo will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rosario Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.23
Guido Ivan Justo -> 3.82
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Guido Ivan Justo
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Guido Ivan Justo fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Ugo Carabelli won 6-0 6-2 in the 2nd round in Argentina F3 (Cordoba) back in 2018.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
4 - 2win/loss
49
43
LWLLLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, Camilo reached the 2nd round after beating Diego Schwartzman 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Schwartzman, Ugo Carabelli recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 96 points vs Schwartzman’s 87. Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (42/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Schwartzman 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (349-200). 3-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 316-169 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
Camilo has never competed in this tournament before.
Guido Ivan Justo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-26 | 0-0 | 44-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-25 | 0-1 | 45-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-17 | 4-3 | 27-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 427 (career-high), Guido got to the 2nd round after defeating Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen 1-6 6-4 6-4, Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-4 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 3-6 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round against Agustin Tirante, Ivan Justo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Ivan Justo scored 91 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 69. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Ivan Justo scored 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Guido Ivan Justo lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ivan Justo put 80% of his first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Guido broke Agustin Tirante 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Guido’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Santiago.
Guido has an aggregate 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Ivan Justo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 71 |
| Pts | 96-87 | 238-211 |
| Total Points | 183 | 449 |
| Winners | 42 | 102 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Ivan Justo competed in 3 matches. Ivan Justo started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set, while Guido Ivan Justo dropped 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 5 set(s) less than Ivan Justo (3 vs 8). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 42 games less than Ivan Justo. The Argentine scored 42 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ivan Justo made 102 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Ivan Justo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 61/95 | 153/202 |
| %1st in | 64% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 102/153 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 23/49 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 47% |
Ugo Carabelli blasted 5 aces . Ivan Justo bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Ivan Justo won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Ivan Justo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 13/30 |
| % Converted | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 60% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Camilo broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Guido broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Schwartzman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 96-87 | 96-87 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 61/95 | 61/95 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 42/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 15/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Ivan Justo | |||||
| Q1 Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen |
Q3 Villanueva |
R1 Agustin Tirante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 | 24 | 71 | |
| pts | 76-84 | 71-58 | 91-69 | 238-211 | |
| Total points | 160 | 129 | 160 | 449 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 39 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/73 | 43/60 | 55/69 | 153/202 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 72% | 80% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 31/55 | 32/43 | 39/55 | 102/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 74% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 8/17 | 7/14 | 23/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 47% | 50% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/6 | 5/13 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 38% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 67% | 50% | 155% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLLLL
LWWLWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Rosario Challenger
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Facundo MenaMena (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Murkel DellienDellien – Mateus AlvesAlves (7-5 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-6 6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Renzo OlivoOlivo (5-7 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Facundo MenaMena (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Sumit NagalNagal (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (2-0) – H2H and prediction
