
Sebastian Baez and Gustavo Heide will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Rosario Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.196
Gustavo Heide -> 4.2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Gustavo Heide
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Gustavo Heide clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Baez won 4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2024.
Sebastian Baez
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-16 | 0-4 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Baez got to the 2nd round after beating Emilio Nava 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-3 6-3). During the match, Baez scored 69 points vs Nava’s 57. Baez was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez scored just 1 ace in the match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 70% of his first serves in, winning 52% (22/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Nava 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (252-151). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has an aggregate 213-89 match record in the last years on clay.
Baez has an aggregate 1-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Gustavo Heide
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 34-25 | 2-2 | 32-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 161, Heide got to the 2nd round after defeating Facundo Mena 6-2 3-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Mena, the Brazilian had a free pass after Mena retired on a 6-2 3-1 . scoreline.
Gustavo’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Brazilian has a compiled 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Baez | Heide |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
Tot Games | 18 | 12 |
Pts | 69-57 | 54-38 |
Total Points | 126 | 92 |
Winners | 22 | 13 |
%Winners | 32% | 24% |
Both Baez and Heide played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Baez has played 1 set(s) less than Heide (2 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that Baez played 6 games more than Heide. The Argentine scored 22 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian scored 13 winners (24%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Baez | Heide |
---|---|---|
Aces | 1 | 2 |
Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
1st in | 42/60 | 16/31 |
%1st in | 70% | 52% |
1st pts | 22/42 | 13/16 |
%1st pts | 52% | 81% |
2nd pts | 14/18 | 11/15 |
%2nd pts | 78% | 73% |
Baez made 1 ace . Heide also fired 2 aces . Baez won 52% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Heide won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Baez | Heide |
---|---|---|
Won | 5 | 3 |
Converted | 5/10 | 3/14 |
% Converted | 50% | 21% |
Conceded | 9 | 0 |
Saved | 7 | 0 |
% Saved | 78% | 0% |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Sebastian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sebastian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponent 3 times with a 21% conversion rate. The Brazilian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
Baez | |||
R1 Nava |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
pts | 69-57 | 69-57 | |
Total points | 126 | 126 | |
Winners | 22 | 22 | |
%Winners | 32% | 32% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 1 | 1 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 42/60 | 42/60 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
1st pts | 22/42 | 22/42 | |
% 1st pts | 52% | 52% | |
2nd pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
% 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Heide | |||
R1 Mena |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 3-1 ret. | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
pts | 54-38 | 54-38 | |
Total points | 92 | 92 | |
Winners | 13 | 13 | |
%Winners | 24% | 24% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
% 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
1st pts | 13/16 | 13/16 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
% 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/14 | 3/14 | |
Converted % | 21% | 21% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Rosario Challenger
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Facundo MenaMena (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-6 6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Murkel DellienDellien – Mateus AlvesAlves (7-5 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Renzo OlivoOlivo (5-7 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Facundo MenaMena (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Sumit NagalNagal (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (2-0) – H2H and prediction