Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will play each other in the 2nd round of the Dallas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.9
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.9

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Arnaldi won 4-6 7-6(5) 3-0 ret. in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2024.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

3 - 2win/loss

Hard
1-2
I Hard
2-0
Rank
39
High
30
WWLLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-11 6-6 6-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 39, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-3 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 63 points vs Eubanks’s 54. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Arnaldi managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Eubanks twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (218-136). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaldi has an aggregate14-24 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

Matteo has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dallas

Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.

Dallas
Arnaldi's Record

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

5 - 4win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
1-1
Rank
26
High
21
LWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-13 13-7 8-5 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0
2021 30-25 4-6 16-7 9-10 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 59, Alejandro reached the 2nd round after beating Brandon Holt 6-1 7-5.

In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Holt (6-1 7-5). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 70 points vs Holt’s 49. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was quite effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Holt 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

The Spaniard has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Dallas
Davidovich Fokina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Arnaldi
A.Davidovich Fokina
1h:19
1h:19
Time on court​
1h:21
1h:21
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
1
1
Match played
1
1
19
19
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
63
63
Total points​
70
70
63
63
Avg point​
70
70
29
29
Winners
32
32
29
29
Avg Winners​
32
32
46%
46%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
6
6
5
5
Avg Aces
6
6
4
4
Double Faults
0
0
4
4
Avg Double Faults
0
0
29/38
29/38
1st won total​
32/43
32/43
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
15/24
15/24
2nd won total​
12/18
12/18
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
2/4
2/4
BP won
3/6
3/6
2/4
2/4
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
2
2
Conceded
3
3
2
2
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
2
2
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Davidovich Fokina
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
Pts 63-54 70-49
Total Points 117 119
Winners 29 32
%Winners 46% 46%

Both Arnaldi and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (19). Matteo scored 29 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 32 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Davidovich Fokina
Aces 5 6
Avg per match 5 6
1st in 38/62 43/61
%1st in 61% 70%
1st pts 29/38 32/43
%1st pts 76% 74%
2nd pts 15/24 12/18
%2nd pts 63% 67%

Arnaldi blasted 5 aces . Davidovich Fokina fired 6 aces . Arnaldi won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Davidovich Fokina
Won 2 3
Converted 2/4 3/6
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 2 3
Saved 2 3
% Saved 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Arnaldi
R1
Eubanks
Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 63-54 63-54
Total points 117 117
Winners 29 29
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 38/62 38/62
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 29/38 29/38
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 15/24 15/24
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/4 2/4
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Davidovich Fokina
R1
Holt
Total
Score 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 70-49 70-49
Total points 119 119
Winners 32 32
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 43/61 43/61
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 32/43 32/43
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 12/18 12/18
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Dallas

Upcoming matches in the draw