Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will play each other in the 2nd round of the Dallas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.9
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Arnaldi won 4-6 7-6(5) 3-0 ret. in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2024.
Matteo Arnaldi
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 14-11 | 6-6 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-3 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 63 points vs Eubanks’s 54. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Eubanks twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (218-136). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaldi has an aggregate14-24 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Matteo has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dallas
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
5 - 4win/loss
26
21
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 22-13 | 13-7 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, Alejandro reached the 2nd round after beating Brandon Holt 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Holt (6-1 7-5). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 70 points vs Holt’s 49. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was quite effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Holt 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The Spaniard has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 |
Pts | 63-54 | 70-49 |
Total Points | 117 | 119 |
Winners | 29 | 32 |
%Winners | 46% | 46% |
Both Arnaldi and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (19). Matteo scored 29 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 32 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Aces | 5 | 6 |
Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
1st in | 38/62 | 43/61 |
%1st in | 61% | 70% |
1st pts | 29/38 | 32/43 |
%1st pts | 76% | 74% |
2nd pts | 15/24 | 12/18 |
%2nd pts | 63% | 67% |
Arnaldi blasted 5 aces . Davidovich Fokina fired 6 aces . Arnaldi won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 3 |
Converted | 2/4 | 3/6 |
% Converted | 50% | 50% |
Conceded | 2 | 3 |
Saved | 2 | 3 |
% Saved | 100% | 100% |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
Arnaldi | |||
R1 Eubanks | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 63-54 | 63-54 | |
Total points | 117 | 117 | |
Winners | 29 | 29 | |
%Winners | 46% | 46% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 5 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 38/62 | 38/62 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 15/24 | 15/24 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Davidovich Fokina | |||
R1 Holt | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 70-49 | 70-49 | |
Total points | 119 | 119 | |
Winners | 32 | 32 | |
%Winners | 46% | 46% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 6 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 43/61 | 43/61 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
1st pts | 32/43 | 32/43 | |
% 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
% 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Tennis Scores in Dallas
- Taylor FritzFritz – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (2-6 7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Jamie Murray/John PeersMurray/John Peers – Mitchell Krueger/Ethan QuinnKrueger/Ethan Quinn (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-76 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – Santiago Gonzalez/Lucas MiedlerGonzalez/Lucas Miedler (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Trevor SvajdaSvajda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Brandon HoltHolt (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Tomas MachacMachac (1-0) – H2H and prediction