Lucas Poullain and Tom Paris will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Lille Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Poullain who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Poullain is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Poullain -> 1.68
Tom Paris -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Poullain vs. Tom Paris
This will be the 3rd time that Lucas Poullain and Tom Paris square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Poullain (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Poullain won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in the Orleans Challenger back in 2023.
Lucas Poullain
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-24 | 21-13 | 6-3 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 63-26 | 29-11 | 8-2 | 26-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-10 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 14-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 461, the French player got to the 2nd round after beating Alexey Vatutin 6-4 6-2, Lucas Marionneau 6-2 6-1 and Matteo Gigante 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, Poullain had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-2 6-3). During the match, Poullain scored 60 points vs Gigante’s 41. Poullain was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Poullain couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Lucas Poullain lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Poullain put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. Poullain broke Gigante 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Poullain has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (225-115). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Poullain has an aggregate 82-44 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The French player has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lille Challenger
Tom Paris
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2024 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 5-7 | 10-4 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 511 (career-high), Paris got to the 2nd round after defeating Eliakim Coulibaly 7-6(5) 6-3, Tom Gentzsch 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Benoit Paire 6-3 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, Paris defeated Paire (6-3 5-7 6-4). During the match Paris scored 96 points vs Paire’s 87. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Paris recorded 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 59% of his first serves in, winning 88% (42/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Paire 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Paris’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Oslo and M25 Nussloch.
Paris has an overall 11-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lille Challenger
Tom has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Poullain | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 53 |
| Pts | 122-85 | 175-154 |
| Total Points | 207 | 329 |
| Winners | 53 | 77 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Both Poullain and Paris played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Tom Paris surrendered 1 set while Lucas Poullain hasn’t lost a set so far. Poullain has played 1 set(s) less than Paris (4 vs 5). Therefore, Poullain played 18 games less than Paris. Lucas scored 53 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Paris struck 77 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Poullain | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 82/112 | 102/154 |
| %1st in | 73% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 53/82 | 77/102 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 26/52 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 50% |
Poullain didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Paris scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Poullain won 65% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Poullain | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Lucas broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Poullain conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Paris broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tom conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Poullain | |||||
| Q1 Vatutin |
Q3 Marionneau |
R1 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 | 17 | 50 | |
| pts | 62-44 | – | 60-41 | 122-85 | |
| Total points | 106 | 0 | 101 | 207 | |
| Winners | 27 | 26 | 53 | ||
| %Winners | 44% | 0% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1st in | 43/57 | / | 39/55 | 82/112 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 0% | 71% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | / | 26/39 | 53/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 0% | 67% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | / | 11/16 | 19/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 0% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | ||
| Converted | 5/8 | / | 4/7 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 0% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/ | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
| Paris | |||||
| Q1 Coulibaly |
Q3 Gentzsch |
R1 Paire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 29 | 31 | 82 | |
| pts | 79-67 | – | 96-87 | 175-154 | |
| Total points | 146 | 0 | 183 | 329 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 77 | ||
| %Winners | 44% | 0% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 54/72 | / | 48/82 | 102/154 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 0% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/54 | / | 42/48 | 77/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 0% | 88% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | / | 17/34 | 26/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 5/9 | / | 3/5 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 0% | 60% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Saved | 2/5 | 0/ | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | – | 33% | 24% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWW
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