Shintaro Mochizuki and Michael Geerts will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Chennai Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.43
Michael Geerts -> 2.66
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Michael Geerts
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Michael Geerts since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-31 | 27-16 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 11-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 181, the Japanese got to the 2nd round after defeating Enrico Dalla Valle 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Dalla Valle (6-2 6-1). During the match, Mochizuki scored 74 points vs Dalla Valle’s 48. Shintaro was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 57% of his first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Dalla Valle 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (182-155). 7-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has an aggregate103-87 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.
Shintaro has an aggregate 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chennai Challenger
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Geerts
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-34 | 24-15 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 298, Geerts got to the 2nd round after beating Maxim Zhukov 6-2 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Geerts had a good straight sets win against Zhukov (6-2 7-65). During the match Geerts scored 70 points vs Zhukov’s 60. Geerts was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Geerts fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Michael Geerts was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Geerts broke Zhukov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Geerts has a composed 2-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 |
| Pts | 74-48 | 70-60 |
| Total Points | 122 | 130 |
| Winners | 25 | 28 |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% |
Both Mochizuki and Geerts played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Geerts have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mochizuki played 6 games less than Geerts. Mochizuki scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Geerts struck 28 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 37/65 | 36/67 |
| %1st in | 57% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 28/36 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 19/31 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 61% |
Mochizuki blasted 3 aces . Geerts managed to score 3 aces . Mochizuki won 68% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Geerts won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 91% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Michael broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Belgian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Dalla Valle | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 74-48 | 74-48 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/65 | 37/65 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 25/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Geerts | |||
| R1 Zhukov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 70-60 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/67 | 36/67 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 19/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Chennai Challenger
- Elias YmerYmer – Jay ClarkeClarke (7-5 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Timofey SkatovSkatov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Billy HarrisHarris – Ergi KirkinKirkin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Oleksandr OvcharenkoOvcharenko – Alexey ZakharovZakharov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction