Felix Auger-Aliassime and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the final of the Open Occitanie for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.36
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 3.14

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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

This will be the 2^nd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Aleksandar Kovacevic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 6-1 in the 1^st round in Cincinnati back in 2024.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 23, the Canadian reached the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-6(5), Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 6-4 and Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 7-6⁴). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 82 points vs De Jong’s 74. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime fired 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Auger-Aliassime broke De Jong twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Auger-Aliassime has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (337-202). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has a compiled 86-40 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1.

The Canadian has an overall 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montpellier

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 102, Kovacevic got to the final after defeating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-6(4), David Goffin 6-2 3-6 6-4, Mattia Bellucci 7-5 7-6(5), Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-5 6-4). During the match Kovacevic scored 69 points vs Rublev’s 63. The American was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Kovacevic made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 53% of his first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Rublev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kovacevic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

Aleksandar has a compiled 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, 12-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montpellier

Aleksandar has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Auger-Aliassime	Kovacevic
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	6	13
Tot Games	65	136
Pts	212-175	454-399
Total Points	387	853
Winners	97	212
%Winners	46%	47%

Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Kovacevic competed in 6 matches. Kovacevic started his run from the qualifications while Auger-Aliassime had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic lost 1 set while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t conceded a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 7 set(s) less than Kovacevic (6 vs 13). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 71 games less than Kovacevic. Felix scored 97 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 212 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Auger-Aliassime	Kovacevic
Aces	34	51
Avg per match	11.3	8.5
1st in	120/176	251/423
%1st in	68%	59%
1st pts	97/120	212/251
%1st pts	81%	84%
2nd pts	34/56	89/172
%2nd pts	61%	52%

Auger-Aliassime made 34 aces (11.3 per match). Kovacevic struck 51 aces (8.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Auger-Aliassime	Kovacevic
Won	6	14
Converted	6/24	14/36
% Converted	25%	39%
Conceded	4	31
Saved	2	26
% Saved	50%	84%
Times Broken	2	5

The Canadian broke his opponents 6 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Canadian lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kovacevic broke his opponents 14 times with a 39% conversion rate. Kovacevic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Cazaux	1/4 Yunchaokete	1/2 De	Total
Score	6-4 7-65	6-3 6-4	6-4 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	23	19	23	65
pts	71-56	59-45	82-74	212-175
Total points	127	104	156	387
Winners	36	30	31	97
%Winners	51%	51%	38%	46%
SERVE
Aces	11	11	12	34
Double Faults	2	0	6	8
1st in	43/55	35/51	42/70	120/176
% 1st in	78%	69%	60%	68%
1st pts	36/43	30/35	31/42	97/120
% 1st pts	84%	86%	74%	81%
2nd pts	7/12	11/16	16/28	34/56
% 2nd pts	58%	69%	57%	61%
Breaks
Won	2	2	2	6
Converted	2/6	2/5	2/13	6/24
Converted %	33%	40%	15%	25%
Conceded	1	0	3	4
Saved	0/1	0/0	2/3	2
Saved %	0%	–	67%	22%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2

Kovacevic
	Q1 Bertrand	Q3 Carreno-Busta	R1 Goffin	R2 Bellucci	1/4 Bublik	1/2 Rublev	Total
Score	7-64 6-4	6-3 7-64	6-2 3-6 6-4	7-5 7-65	6-3 6-2	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	2	13
Tot Games	23	22	27	25	17	22	136
pts	84-72	78-63	79-79	74-68	70-54	69-63	454-399
Total points	156	141	158	142	124	132	853
Winners	31	40	38	39	31	33	212
%Winners	37%	51%	48%	53%	44%	48%	47%
SERVE
Aces	10	10	9	9	4	9	51
Double Faults	0	1	5	1	0	1	8
1st in	38/69	45/64	46/83	44/71	37/59	41/77	251/423
% 1st in	55%	70%	55%	62%	63%	53%	59%
1st pts	31/38	40/45	38/46	39/44	31/37	33/41	212/251
% 1st pts	82%	89%	83%	89%	84%	80%	84%
2nd pts	17/31	10/19	16/37	17/27	11/22	18/36	89/172
% 2nd pts	55%	53%	43%	63%	50%	50%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	1	3	1	3	3	14
Converted	3/8	1/7	3/6	1/1	3/9	3/5	14/36
Converted %	38%	14%	50%	100%	33%	60%	39%
Conceded	9	2	6	1	8	5	31
Saved	7/9	2/2	4/6	1/1	8/8	4/5	26
Saved %	78%	100%	67%	100%	100%	80%	175%
Times Broken	2	0	2	0	0	1	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction