Luca Nardi and Ugo Blanchet will play each other in the final of the Koblenz Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.55
Ugo Blanchet -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Ugo Blanchet
This will be the 2nd time that Luca Nardi and Ugo Blanchet play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Blanchet (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Blanchet won 6-4 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Lyon Challenger back in 2024.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Nardi reached the final after beating Tom Gentzsch 6-3 4-6 7-5, Ryan Nijboer 6-4 6-4, Jelle Sels 6-3 6-4, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 6-2, Mika Brunold 6-4 7-5 and Giulio Zeppieri 6-4 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Zeppieri (6-4 7-64). During the match, Nardi scored 75 points vs Zeppieri’s 64. Nardi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Luca Nardi was quite efficient on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luca broke Zeppieri once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (162-122). 6-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has a composed49-37 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Nardi’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Koblenz Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Koblenz Challenger
Ugo Blanchet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-28 | 4-10 | 14-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-28 | 15-7 | 23-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-24 | 15-4 | 27-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-21 | 35-12 | 6-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 226, Ugo reached the final after defeating Michael Geerts 4-6 6-1 6-4, Max Hans Rehberg 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4), Matteo Martineau 7-6(3) 3-6 7-6(1) and Jakub Paul 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the semifinal, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-66 6-4). During the match Blanchet scored 80 points vs Paul’s 73. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Blanchet made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Blanchet lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Blanchet put 65% of his first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Paul 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Ugo’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Koblenz Challenger.
Ugo has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 131 | 119 |
| Pts | 451-369 | 401-379 |
| Total Points | 820 | 780 |
| Winners | 196 | 163 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Nardi played 6 matches while Blanchet competed in 4 matches. Nardi started his run from the qualifications while Blanchet had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi lost 1 set, while Ugo Blanchet surrendered 3 sets. Nardi has played 2 sets more than Blanchet (13 vs 11). Therefore, Nardi played 12 games more than Blanchet. Nardi scored 196 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo made 163 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 247/388 | 213/382 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 196/247 | 163/213 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 80/141 | 90/169 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 53% |
Nardi bagged 28 aces (4.7 per match). Blanchet made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Nardi won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Blanchet won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 8 |
| Converted | 17/52 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 29 | 25 |
| Saved | 25 | 17 |
| % Saved | 86% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Luca broke his opponents 17 times with a 33% conversion rate. Luca dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Blanchet broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Blanchet conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | ||||||||
| Q1 Gentzsch |
Q3 Nijboer |
R1 Sels |
R2 Blancaneaux |
1/4 Brunold |
1/2 Zeppieri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 131 | |
| pts | 100-83 | 71-58 | 68-52 | 66-47 | 71-65 | 75-64 | 451-369 | |
| Total points | 183 | 129 | 120 | 113 | 136 | 139 | 820 | |
| Winners | 41 | 24 | 38 | 23 | 33 | 37 | 196 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 56% | 35% | 46% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 53/84 | 29/57 | 45/57 | 30/55 | 47/71 | 43/64 | 247/388 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 51% | 79% | 55% | 66% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 41/53 | 24/29 | 38/45 | 23/30 | 33/47 | 37/43 | 196/247 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 83% | 84% | 77% | 70% | 86% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 19/28 | 5/12 | 14/25 | 8/24 | 12/21 | 80/141 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 68% | 42% | 56% | 33% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/10 | 2/6 | 4/9 | 5/9 | 1/8 | 17/52 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 20% | 33% | 44% | 56% | 13% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 29 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 2/2 | 5/5 | 4/4 | 8/11 | 0/0 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 73% | – | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Blanchet | ||||||||
| R1 Geerts |
R2 Hans |
1/4 Martineau |
1/2 Paul |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 2-6 7-65 7-64 | 7-63 3-6 7-61 | 7-66 6-4 | ||||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |||
| Tot Games | 27 | 34 | 35 | 23 | 119 | |||
| pts | 93-80 | 111-118 | 117-108 | 80-73 | 401-379 | |||
| Total points | 173 | 229 | 225 | 153 | 780 | |||
| Winners | 37 | 47 | 40 | 39 | 163 | |||
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 34% | 49% | 41% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 31 | |||
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |||
| 1st in | 44/80 | 65/116 | 49/101 | 55/85 | 213/382 | |||
| % 1st in | 55% | 56% | 49% | 65% | 56% | |||
| 1st pts | 37/44 | 47/65 | 40/49 | 39/55 | 163/213 | |||
| % 1st pts | 84% | 72% | 82% | 71% | 77% | |||
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 27/51 | 30/52 | 13/30 | 90/169 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 53% | 58% | 43% | 53% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Converted | 3/9 | 1/2 | 1/6 | 3/4 | 8/21 | |||
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 17% | 75% | 38% | |||
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 25 | |||
| Saved | 2/3 | 6/9 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 17 | |||
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | 71% | 45% | |||
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |||
Head 2 Head
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