Andrey Rublev and Aleksandar Kovacevic will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Open Occitanie for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.28
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
There is no head to head record between Andrey Rublev and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Russian reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-3 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 5-2 ret..
In the quarter against Basilashvili, the Russian had a free pass after Basilashvili retired on a 5-2 . scoreline.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (407-224). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 114-63 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Rublev has a compiled 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Kovacevic got to the semifinal after defeating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-6(4), David Goffin 6-2 3-6 6-4, Mattia Bellucci 7-5 7-6(5) and Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-3 6-2). During the match Kovacevic scored 70 points vs Bublik’s 54. Kovacevic was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovacevic recorded 4 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Aleksandar Kovacevic conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 63% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Kovacevic broke Bublik 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aleksandar started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
The American has an overall 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 114 |
| Pts | 81-58 | 385-336 |
| Total Points | 139 | 721 |
| Winners | 34 | 179 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
Rublev played 2 matches while Kovacevic competed in 5 matches. Kovacevic started his run from the qualifications while Rublev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic lost 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 7 set(s) less than Kovacevic (4 vs 11). Therefore, Rublev played 88 games less than Kovacevic. Rublev scored 34 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Aleksandar managed to score 179 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 42 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 8.4 |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 210/346 |
| %1st in | 58% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 179/210 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 71/136 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 52% |
Rublev fired 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kovacevic blasted 42 aces (8.4 per match). Rublev won 89% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 11 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 11/31 |
| % Converted | 63% | 35% |
| Conceded | 3 | 26 |
| Saved | 3 | 22 |
| % Saved | 100% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Russian pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Aleksandar broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Aleksandar conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Eubanks |
1/4 Basilashvili |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 5-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 7 | 26 | |
| pts | 57-43 | 24-15 | 81-58 | |
| Total points | 100 | 39 | 139 | |
| Winners | 25 | 9 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 10/18 | 38/66 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 9/10 | 34/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 90% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 6/8 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 75% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/2 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kovacevic | |||||||
| Q1 Bertrand |
Q3 Carreno-Busta |
R1 Goffin |
R2 Bellucci |
1/4 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | 7-5 7-65 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 114 | |
| pts | 84-72 | 78-63 | 79-79 | 74-68 | 70-54 | 385-336 | |
| Total points | 156 | 141 | 158 | 142 | 124 | 721 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 38 | 39 | 31 | 179 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 51% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 45/64 | 46/83 | 44/71 | 37/59 | 210/346 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 70% | 55% | 62% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 40/45 | 38/46 | 39/44 | 31/37 | 179/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 89% | 83% | 89% | 84% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 10/19 | 16/37 | 17/27 | 11/22 | 71/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 53% | 43% | 63% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/7 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 3/9 | 11/31 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 14% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 2/2 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 8/8 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 223% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWWL
LWLLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Montpellier
- Robin Haase/Botic Van de ZandschulpHaase/Botic Van de Zandschulp – Manuel Guinard/Gregoire JacqGuinard/Gregoire Jacq (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
