Ugo Blanchet and Jakub Paul will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Koblenz Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Blanchet who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Blanchet is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Blanchet -> 1.68
Jakub Paul -> 2.08
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Ugo Blanchet vs. Jakub Paul
This will be the 5th time that Ugo Blanchet and Jakub Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Blanchet (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Blanchet won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in M25 Valldoreix back in 2023.
Ugo Blanchet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-28 | 4-10 | 14-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-28 | 15-7 | 23-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-24 | 15-4 | 27-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-21 | 35-12 | 6-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 226, the French player got to the semifinal after defeating Michael Geerts 4-6 6-1 6-4, Max Hans Rehberg 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) and Matteo Martineau 7-6(3) 3-6 7-6(1).
In the quarter, Ugo defeated Martineau (7-63 3-6 7-61). During the match, Blanchet scored 117 points vs Martineau’s 108. Blanchet was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Blanchet made 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ugo Blanchet was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 58% (30/52) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Martineau once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has lost 3 set in this competition to win 51% of the points he played.
Blanchet has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (221-155). 4-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Blanchet has an aggregate38-37 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Ugo has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Koblenz Challenger
Ugo has never competed in this tournament before.
Jakub Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-27 | 15-9 | 17-11 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-24 | 20-4 | 14-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2022 | 25-26 | 4-4 | 20-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 34-21 | 4-3 | 17-10 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 385, the Swiss reached the semifinal after beating David Jorda Sanchis 6-3 6-2, Christoph Negritu 7-6(5) 6-2, Rudolf Molleker 6-4 7-6(2), Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-5 and Alexey Vatutin 6-3 2-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The Swiss defeated Vatutin (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Paul scored 87 points vs Vatutin’s 85. Jakub was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Paul scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Jakub Paul lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (43/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Jakub broke Vatutin 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swiss started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Jakub has an aggregate 8-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Blanchet | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 91 |
| Pts | 321-306 | 289-246 |
| Total Points | 627 | 535 |
| Winners | 124 | 128 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Blanchet played 3 matches while Paul competed in 4 matches. Paul started his run from the qualifications while Blanchet had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Ugo Blanchet dropped 3 sets, while Jakub Paul dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Blanchet and Paul have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Blanchet played 5 games more than Paul. The French player scored 124 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Paul managed to score 128 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Blanchet | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 158/297 | 182/277 |
| %1st in | 53% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 124/158 | 128/182 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 77/139 | 50/95 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 53% |
Blanchet recorded 24 aces (8 per match). Paul managed to score 11 aces (2.8 per match). Blanchet won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Blanchet | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 16/28 |
| % Converted | 29% | 57% |
| Conceded | 18 | 26 |
| Saved | 12 | 17 |
| % Saved | 67% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 9 |
Blanchet broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Blanchet conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Jakub broke his opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Blanchet | |||||
| R1 Geerts |
R2 Hans |
1/4 Martineau |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 2-6 7-65 7-64 | 7-63 3-6 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 34 | 35 | 96 | |
| pts | 93-80 | 111-118 | 117-108 | 321-306 | |
| Total points | 173 | 229 | 225 | 627 | |
| Winners | 37 | 47 | 40 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 34% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 44/80 | 65/116 | 49/101 | 158/297 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 56% | 49% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 37/44 | 47/65 | 40/49 | 124/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 72% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 27/51 | 30/52 | 77/139 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 53% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 1/2 | 1/6 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 17% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 6/9 | 4/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Paul | |||||||
| Q1 Jorda Sanchis |
Q3 Negritu |
R1 Molleker |
R2 Masur |
1/4 Vatutin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 7-62 | 7-64 7-5 | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 112 | |
| pts | 61-41 | – | 67-53 | 74-67 | 87-85 | 289-246 | |
| Total points | 102 | 0 | 120 | 141 | 172 | 535 | |
| Winners | 20 | 33 | 32 | 43 | 128 | ||
| %Winners | 33% | 0% | 49% | 43% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 30/45 | / | 40/64 | 44/67 | 68/101 | 182/277 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 0% | 63% | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 20/30 | / | 33/40 | 32/44 | 43/68 | 128/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 0% | 83% | 73% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | / | 12/24 | 14/23 | 16/33 | 50/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 0% | 50% | 61% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | ||
| Converted | 6/12 | / | 3/3 | 3/7 | 4/6 | 16/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 100% | 43% | 67% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 26 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/ | 2/4 | 3/5 | 10/13 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 60% | 77% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWW
LLWWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Koblenz Challenger
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Henri SquireSquire (4-6 7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Mika BrunoldBrunold (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jakub PaulPaul – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Matteo MartineauMartineau (7-63 3-6 7-61) – See score progression
- Tim Ruehl/Patrick ZahrajRuehl/Patrick Zahraj – Patrik Trhac/Szymon WalkowTrhac/Szymon Walkow (6-76 6-3 14-12) – See score progression
- Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Joshua ParisBlancaneaux/Joshua Paris – Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Ivan LiutarevichJecan/Ivan Liutarevich (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Henri SquireSquire (4-6 7-6(7) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Jakub PaulPaul (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
