Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga will clash against each other in the quarter of the Piracicaba Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on INDOOR 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.51
Roman Andres Burruchaga -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga

This will be the 4th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Andres Burruchaga won 6-4 5-7 6-1 in the quarter in the Guayaquil Challenger back in 2023.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
0-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-0
Rank
49
High
43
LWLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 5-9 27-14 1-3 0-3 0-0
2024 58-30 6-5 52-24 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 93, the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-1 6-2 and Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Collarini (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 62 points vs Collarini’s 48. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Collarini 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (348-199). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 315-168 record in the last years on clay.

The Argentine has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger

Piracicaba Challenger
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Roman Andres Burruchaga

6 - 5win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-2
Rank
105
High
105
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-31 4-5 51-25 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 44-28 2-3 40-24 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 39-30 4-2 35-28 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 45-32 5-3 40-29 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 43-24 18-9 25-15 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 152, Roman reached the quarter after defeating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 6-3 and Mateus Alves 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Argentine defeated Alves (7-63 4-6 6-3). During the match Andres Burruchaga scored 98 points vs Alves’s 94. Roman was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Andres Burruchaga made 5 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Roman Andres Burruchaga was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (36/49) of his 1st serve and 60% (27/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Andres Burruchaga broke Alves 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Roman has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Argentine has a composed 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Piracicaba Challenger
Andres Burruchaga's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ugo Carabelli
R.Andres Burruchaga
3h:00
3h:00
Time on court​
!
4h:48
4h:48
1h:37
1h:37
Last match​
!
3h:03
3h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
35
35
Games Played​
51
51
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
125
125
Total points​
159
159
62.5
62.5
Avg point​
79.5
79.5
56
56
Winners
57
57
28
28
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
45%
45%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
3
3
2
2
Double Faults
10
10
1
1
Avg Double Faults
5
5
56/80
56/80
1st won total​
57/81
57/81
70%
70%
1st won %
70%
70%
18/28
18/28
2nd won total​
43/76
43/76
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
8/15
8/15
BP won
8/16
8/16
4/7.5
4/7.5
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
!
53%
53%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
10
10
3
3
Avg Conceded
5
5
2
2
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
4
4
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ugo Carabelli Andres Burruchaga
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 35 51
Pts 125-91 159-144
Total Points 216 303
Winners 56 57
%Winners 45% 36%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Andres Burruchaga played 2 matches. At the moment, Roman Andres Burruchaga lost 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Andres Burruchaga (4 vs 5). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 16 games less than Andres Burruchaga. Ugo Carabelli scored 56 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Roman blasted 57 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ugo Carabelli Andres Burruchaga
Aces 5 6
Avg per match 2.5 3
1st in 80/108 81/157
%1st in 74% 52%
1st pts 56/80 57/81
%1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 18/28 43/76
%2nd pts 64% 57%

Ugo Carabelli scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Andres Burruchaga blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Andres Burruchaga won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ugo Carabelli Andres Burruchaga
Won 8 8
Converted 8/15 8/16
% Converted 53% 50%
Conceded 6 10
Saved 4 5
% Saved 67% 50%
Times Broken 2 5

Camilo broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Argentine dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Roman broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Andres Burruchaga conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
R1
Lucas Reis Da
R2
Collarini
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 20 35
pts 63-43 62-48 125-91
Total points 106 110 216
Winners 26 30 56
%Winners 41% 48% 45%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 43/54 37/54 80/108
% 1st in 80% 69% 74%
1st pts 26/43 30/37 56/80
% 1st pts 60% 81% 70%
2nd pts 8/11 10/17 18/28
% 2nd pts 73% 59% 64%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/11 3/4 8/15
Converted % 45% 75% 53%
Conceded 5 1 6
Saved 4/5 0/1 4
Saved % 80% 0% 40%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Andres Burruchaga
R1
Alberto Olivieri
R2
Alves
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 32 51
pts 61-50 98-94 159-144
Total points 111 192 303
Winners 21 36 57
%Winners 34% 37% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 6
Double Faults 2 8 10
1st in 32/63 49/94 81/157
% 1st in 51% 52% 52%
1st pts 21/32 36/49 57/81
% 1st pts 66% 73% 70%
2nd pts 16/31 27/45 43/76
% 2nd pts 52% 60% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/8 3/8 8/16
Converted % 63% 38% 50%
Conceded 5 5 10
Saved 3/5 2/5 5
Saved % 60% 40% 50%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Upcoming matches in the draw