Alexey Vatutin and Jakub Paul will fight against each other in the quarter of the Koblenz Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jakub Paul who should win in 3 sets.
Jakub Paul -> 1.77
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.96
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alexey Vatutin vs. Jakub Paul
There is no head to head record between Alexey Vatutin and Jakub Paul since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexey Vatutin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-30 | 2-1 | 27-16 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-32 | 0-2 | 32-16 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 324, Alexey reached the quarter after beating Gianluca Mager 6-4 6-2 and Ivan Gakhov 4-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Gakhov, Vatutin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Vatutin scored 97 points vs Gakhov’s 80. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Vatutin scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 71% of his first serves in, winning 62% (37/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Vatutin broke Gakhov 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Vatutin has conceded 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Vatutin has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (333-283). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Vatutin has an aggregate 113-100 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Alexey has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Koblenz Challenger
Jakub Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-21 | 14-5 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-27 | 15-9 | 17-11 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-24 | 20-4 | 14-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2022 | 25-26 | 4-4 | 20-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 34-21 | 4-3 | 17-10 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 385, Jakub got to the quarter after defeating David Jorda Sanchis 6-3 6-2, Christoph Negritu 7-6(5) 6-2, Rudolf Molleker 6-4 7-6(2) and Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Jakub had a good straight sets win against Masur (7-64 7-5). During the match Paul scored 74 points vs Masur’s 67. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Paul made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jakub Paul was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Paul broke Masur 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
The Swiss has a composed 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Vatutin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 65 |
| Pts | 161-125 | 202-161 |
| Total Points | 286 | 363 |
| Winners | 65 | 85 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Vatutin played 2 matches while Paul competed in 3 matches. Paul started his run from the qualifications while Vatutin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alexey Vatutin lost 1 set while Jakub Paul hasn’t dropped a set so far. Vatutin has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (5 vs 6). Therefore, Vatutin played 19 games less than Paul. Alexey scored 65 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jakub made 85 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Vatutin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 94/136 | 114/176 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 65/94 | 85/114 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/42 | 34/62 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Vatutin scored 8 aces (4 per match). Paul recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Vatutin won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Vatutin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 12/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 38% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Vatutin broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexey lost his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Vatutin | ||||
| R1 Mager | R2 Gakhov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 97-80 | 161-125 | |
| Total points | 109 | 177 | 286 | |
| Winners | 28 | 37 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 34/52 | 60/84 | 94/136 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 37/60 | 65/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 62% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 15/24 | 24/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 63% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/14 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| Q1 Jorda Sanchis | Q3 Negritu | R1 Molleker | R2 Masur | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 7-62 | 7-64 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 86 | |
| pts | 61-41 | – | 67-53 | 74-67 | 202-161 | |
| Total points | 102 | 0 | 120 | 141 | 363 | |
| Winners | 20 | 33 | 32 | 85 | ||
| %Winners | 33% | 0% | 49% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 30/45 | / | 40/64 | 44/67 | 114/176 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 0% | 63% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 20/30 | / | 33/40 | 32/44 | 85/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 0% | 83% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | / | 12/24 | 14/23 | 34/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 0% | 50% | 61% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | ||
| Converted | 6/12 | / | 3/3 | 3/7 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 100% | 43% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/ | 2/4 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 60% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ||
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexey VatutinVatutin – Jakub PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Matteo MartineauMartineau (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Henri SquireSquire – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction