Alexey Vatutin and Jakub Paul will fight against each other in the quarter of the Koblenz Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jakub Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jakub Paul is the pick to win this match.
Jakub Paul -> 1.77
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Alexey Vatutin vs. Jakub Paul

There is no head to head record between Alexey Vatutin and Jakub Paul since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alexey Vatutin

Alexey Vatutin

3 - 2win/loss

Rank
413
High
136
WLWLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-30 2-1 27-16 11-13 0-0 0-0
2024 52-32 0-2 32-16 20-14 0-0 0-0
2023 27-27 5-7 6-8 12-11 0-0 4-1
2022 38-39 8-3 19-20 11-16 0-0 0-0
2021 31-38 0-1 15-26 16-11 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 324, Alexey reached the quarter after beating Gianluca Mager 6-4 6-2 and Ivan Gakhov 4-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Gakhov, Vatutin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Vatutin scored 97 points vs Gakhov’s 80. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Vatutin scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 71% of his first serves in, winning 62% (37/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Vatutin broke Gakhov 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vatutin has conceded 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Vatutin has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (333-283). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Vatutin has an aggregate 113-100 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Alexey has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Koblenz Challenger

Koblenz Challenger
Vatutin's Record

Jakub Paul

Jakub Paul

7 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-1
I Hard
3-1
Rank
342
High
288
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-21 14-5 12-7 9-9 0-0 0-0
2024 44-27 15-9 17-11 12-7 0-0 0-0
2023 37-24 20-4 14-12 2-6 0-0 1-2
2022 25-26 4-4 20-18 1-3 0-0 0-1
2021 34-21 4-3 17-10 11-7 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 385, Jakub got to the quarter after defeating David Jorda Sanchis 6-3 6-2, Christoph Negritu 7-6(5) 6-2, Rudolf Molleker 6-4 7-6(2) and Daniel Masur 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Jakub had a good straight sets win against Masur (7-64 7-5). During the match Paul scored 74 points vs Masur’s 67. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Paul made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jakub Paul was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Paul broke Masur 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

The Swiss has a composed 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

.
Koblenz Challenger
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Vatutin
J.Paul
2h:54
2h:54
Time on court​
!
5h:47
5h:47
1h:50
1h:50
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
46
46
Games Played​
86
86
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
161
161
Total points​
264
264
80.5
80.5
Avg point​
66
66
65
65
Winners
113
113
32.5
32.5
Avg Winners​
28.3
28.3
40%
40%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
16
16
4
4
Avg Aces
4
4
7
7
Double Faults
3
3
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
65/94
65/94
1st won total​
113/154
113/154
69%
69%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
24/42
24/42
2nd won total​
43/81
43/81
57%
57%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
10/20
10/20
BP won
13/31
13/31
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
3.3/7.8
3.3/7.8
50%
50%
Won
42%
42%
8
8
Conceded
17
17
4
4
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
5
5
Broken
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
3
3
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Vatutin Paul
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 46 65
Pts 161-125 202-161
Total Points 286 363
Winners 65 85
%Winners 40% 42%

Vatutin played 2 matches while Paul competed in 3 matches. Paul started his run from the qualifications while Vatutin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alexey Vatutin lost 1 set while Jakub Paul hasn’t dropped a set so far. Vatutin has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (5 vs 6). Therefore, Vatutin played 19 games less than Paul. Alexey scored 65 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jakub made 85 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Vatutin Paul
Aces 8 10
Avg per match 4 3.3
1st in 94/136 114/176
%1st in 69% 65%
1st pts 65/94 85/114
%1st pts 69% 75%
2nd pts 24/42 34/62
%2nd pts 57% 55%

Vatutin scored 8 aces (4 per match). Paul recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Vatutin won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Vatutin Paul
Won 10 12
Converted 10/20 12/22
% Converted 50% 55%
Conceded 8 13
Saved 3 7
% Saved 38% 54%
Times Broken 5 6

Vatutin broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexey lost his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.

Vatutin
R1
Mager
R2
Gakhov
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 4-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 28 46
pts 64-45 97-80 161-125
Total points 109 177 286
Winners 28 37 65
%Winners 44% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 1 8
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 34/52 60/84 94/136
% 1st in 65% 71% 69%
1st pts 28/34 37/60 65/94
% 1st pts 82% 62% 69%
2nd pts 9/18 15/24 24/42
% 2nd pts 50% 63% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/6 6/14 10/20
Converted % 67% 43% 50%
Conceded 2 6 8
Saved 1/2 2/6 3
Saved % 50% 33% 42%
Times Broken 1 4 5
Paul
Q1
Jorda Sanchis
Q3
Negritu
R1
Molleker
R2
Masur
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 7-65 6-2 6-4 7-62 7-64 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 17 21 23 25 86
pts 61-41 67-53 74-67 202-161
Total points 102 0 120 141 363
Winners 20 33 32 85
%Winners 33% 0% 49% 43% 42%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 7 3 10
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 30/45 / 40/64 44/67 114/176
% 1st in 67% 0% 63% 66% 65%
1st pts 20/30 / 33/40 32/44 85/114
% 1st pts 67% 0% 83% 73% 75%
2nd pts 8/15 / 12/24 14/23 34/62
% 2nd pts 53% 0% 50% 61% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 3 3 12
Converted 6/12 / 3/3 3/7 12/22
Converted % 50% 0% 100% 43% 55%
Conceded 4 4 5 13
Saved 2/4 0/ 2/4 3/5 7
Saved % 50% 50% 60% 80%
Times Broken 2 2 2 6

Upcoming matches in the draw