Marek Gengel and Blake Ellis will fight against each other in the quarter of the Brisbane 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on SHOW COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marek Gengel who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marek Gengel is the pick to win this match.
Marek Gengel -> 1.75
Blake Ellis -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Marek Gengel vs. Blake Ellis
There is no head to head record between Marek Gengel and Blake Ellis since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Marek Gengel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-12 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 85-26 | 82-22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-27 | 14-15 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-29 | 28-16 | 4-8 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 47-14 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 254 (career-high), Gengel reached the quarter after beating Naoki Nakagawa 6-4 6-3 and Yuta Shimizu 3-6 6-4 6-0.
In the 2nd round against Shimizu, Marek recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-0). During the match, Gengel scored 78 points vs Shimizu’s 61. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gengel scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Marek Gengel was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Czech broke Shimizu 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gengel has dropped 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Gengel has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (322-224). 2-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gengel has an aggregate 255-120 match record in the last years on hard.
Gengel has a compiled 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brisbane 1 Challenger
The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.
Blake Ellis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-31 | 41-26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-14 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 317 (career-high), Blake reached the quarter after defeating Li Tu 7-6(3) 6-4 and Pavle Marinkov 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Marinkov (6-4 7-5). During the match Ellis scored 64 points vs Marinkov’s 48. Ellis was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Ellis made 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Blake Ellis was pretty efficient on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ellis broke Marinkov 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ellis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Blake has an overall 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gengel | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 45 |
| Pts | 141-108 | 133-109 |
| Total Points | 249 | 242 |
| Winners | 62 | 71 |
| %Winners | 44% | 53% |
Both Gengel and Ellis played 2 matches. At the moment, Marek Gengel surrendered 1 set while Blake Ellis hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gengel has played 1 set more than Ellis (5 vs 4). However, it’s interesting to notice that Gengel played 1 game less than Ellis. Marek scored 62 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Blake struck 71 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gengel | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 11 |
| 1st in | 78/115 | 86/119 |
| %1st in | 68% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 62/78 | 71/86 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 25/37 | 21/33 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 64% |
Gengel scored 14 aces (7 per match). Ellis recorded 22 aces (11 per match). Gengel won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Ellis won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gengel | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Gengel broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gengel | ||||
| R1 Nakagawa |
R2 Shimizu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 25 | 44 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 78-61 | 141-108 | |
| Total points | 110 | 139 | 249 | |
| Winners | 29 | 33 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 43/64 | 78/115 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 33/43 | 62/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 14/21 | 25/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/8 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Ellis | ||||
| R1 Tu |
R2 Marinkov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 45 | |
| pts | 69-61 | 64-48 | 133-109 | |
| Total points | 130 | 112 | 242 | |
| Winners | 40 | 31 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 48% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/67 | 36/52 | 86/119 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 69% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 31/36 | 71/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 86% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 10/16 | 21/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/4 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 75% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWL
WWWWWLWWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – Adam WaltonWalton (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Blake EllisEllis – Marek GengelGengel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Alex BoltBolt (2-0) – H2H and prediction
