Mattia Bellucci and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the 2^nd round of the Open Occitanie for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.74
Mattia Bellucci -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the Italian got to the 2^nd round after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Pouille (6-4 6-4). During the match, Bellucci scored 75 points vs Pouille’s 64. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bellucci fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Mattia Bellucci conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 10 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 57% of his first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Pouille twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (237-137). 1-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has an aggregate32-26 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

The Italian has a compiled 2-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montpellier

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 102, the American got to the 2^nd round after defeating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-6(4) and David Goffin 6-2 3-6 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The American defeated Goffin (6-2 3-6 6-4). During the match Kovacevic and Goffin scored the same amount of points (79). However, the world no. 98 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Aleksandar was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Kovacevic struck 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 55% of his first serves in, winning 83% (38/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Goffin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

The American has a composed 10-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Kovacevic
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	20	72
Pts	75-64	241-214
Total Points	139	455
Winners	34	109
%Winners	45%	45%

Bellucci played 1 match while Kovacevic competed in 3 matches. Kovacevic started his run from the qualifications while Bellucci had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic conceded 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bellucci has played 5 set(s) less than Kovacevic (2 vs 7). Therefore, Bellucci played 52 games less than Kovacevic. The Italian scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 109 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Kovacevic
Aces	8	29
Avg per match	8	9.7
1st in	40/70	129/216
%1st in	57%	60%
1st pts	34/40	109/129
%1st pts	85%	84%
2nd pts	14/30	43/87
%2nd pts	47%	49%

Bellucci bagged 8 aces . Kovacevic made 29 aces (9.7 per match). Bellucci won 85% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Kovacevic
Won	2	7
Converted	2/9	7/21
% Converted	22%	33%
Conceded	10	17
Saved	10	13
% Saved	100%	76%
Times Broken	0	4

The Italian broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. The Italian extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 10 break points. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Aleksandar conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
	R1 Pouille	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	75-64	75-64
Total points	139	139
Winners	34	34
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	40/70	40/70
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	34/40	34/40
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	14/30	14/30
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/9	2/9
Converted %	22%	22%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	10/10	10
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Kovacevic
	Q1 Bertrand	Q3 Carreno-Busta	R1 Goffin	Total
Score	7-64 6-4	6-3 7-64	6-2 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	23	22	27	72
pts	84-72	78-63	79-79	241-214
Total points	156	141	158	455
Winners	31	40	38	109
%Winners	37%	51%	48%	45%
SERVE
Aces	10	10	9	29
Double Faults	0	1	5	6
1st in	38/69	45/64	46/83	129/216
% 1st in	55%	70%	55%	60%
1st pts	31/38	40/45	38/46	109/129
% 1st pts	82%	89%	83%	84%
2nd pts	17/31	10/19	16/37	43/87
% 2nd pts	55%	53%	43%	49%
Breaks
Won	3	1	3	7
Converted	3/8	1/7	3/6	7/21
Converted %	38%	14%	50%	33%
Conceded	9	2	6	17
Saved	7/9	2/2	4/6	13
Saved %	78%	100%	67%	245%
Times Broken	2	0	2	4

Tennis Scores in Montpellier

• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrey RublevRublev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Felix Auger AliassimeFelix – Arthur CazauxArthur (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Richard GasquetGasquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction