Blake Ellis and Pavle Marinkov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Brisbane 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on SHOW COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Blake Ellis who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Blake Ellis is the pick to win this match.
Blake Ellis -> 1.24
Pavle Marinkov -> 3.72
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Prediction and head to head Blake Ellis vs. Pavle Marinkov
There is no head to head record between Blake Ellis and Pavle Marinkov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Blake Ellis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-31 | 41-26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-14 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 317 (career-high), Blake reached the 2nd round after defeating Li Tu 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Tu (7-63 6-4). During the match, Ellis scored 69 points vs Tu’s 61. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ellis fired 12 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Blake Ellis was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (40/50) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Blake broke Tu once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Ellis has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (228-163). 3-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ellis has a composed 184-138 match record in the last years on hard.
Ellis has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brisbane 1 Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Pavle Marinkov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-16 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-19 | 14-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-11 | 11-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 886, Pavle reached the 2nd round after beating Jacob Brumm 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Australian defeated Brumm (6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match Marinkov scored 87 points vs Brumm’s 74. Pavle was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Marinkov bagged 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Pavle Marinkov lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Marinkov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Pavle broke Brumm 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The Australian has a composed 1-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ellis | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 |
| Pts | 69-61 | 87-74 |
| Total Points | 130 | 161 |
| Winners | 40 | 36 |
| %Winners | 58% | 41% |
Both Ellis and Marinkov played 1 match. At the moment, Pavle Marinkov dropped 1 set while Blake Ellis hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ellis has played 1 set(s) less than Marinkov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ellis played 4 games less than Marinkov. The Australian scored 40 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Marinkov scored 36 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ellis | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 9 |
| 1st in | 50/67 | 47/83 |
| %1st in | 75% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 36/47 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 18/36 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 50% |
Ellis struck 12 aces . Marinkov recorded 9 aces . Ellis won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Marinkov won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ellis | Marinkov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/3 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Ellis quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Marinkov broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Marinkov conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ellis | |||
| R1 Tu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 69-61 | 69-61 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 58% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 50/67 | 50/67 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 40/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Marinkov | |||
| R1 Brumm |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 87-74 | 87-74 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/83 | 47/83 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/47 | 36/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 18/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWWWL
LLLLLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Brisbane 1 Challenger
- James McCabeMcCabe – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bernard TomicTomic – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 6-76 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Omar JasikaJasika – Christian LangmoLangmo (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adam WaltonWalton – Shinji HazawaHazawa (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – Adam WaltonWalton (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Blake EllisEllis – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marek GengelGengel – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Govind NandaNanda – Alex BoltBolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Matthew DellavedovaDellavedova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
