Illya Marchenko and Thomas Braithwaite will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Brisbane 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 2 sets.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.4
Thomas Braithwaite -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Thomas Braithwaite
There is no head to head record between Illya Marchenko and Thomas Braithwaite since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 533, Illya reached the qualifications after defeating Joshua Charlton 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications against Charlton, Illya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-2). During the match, Marchenko scored 109 points vs Charlton’s 94. The Ukrainian was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Marchenko recorded 18 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Illya Marchenko was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (47/60) of his 1st serve and 51% (25/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Ukrainian broke Charlton 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Marchenko has winning record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (215-194). 1-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Marchenko has a composed 87-78 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Marchenko has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brisbane 1 Challenger
Marchenko has never competed in this tournament before.
Thomas Braithwaite
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-18 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-11 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-26 | 32-22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-13 | 19-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 886, Thomas got to the qualifications after defeating Hayato Matsuoka 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Matsuoka, Thomas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-4 6-4). During the match Braithwaite scored 119 points vs Matsuoka’s 109. Braithwaite was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Braithwaite blasted 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Thomas Braithwaite conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Braithwaite put 69% of his first serves in, winning 81% (60/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Braithwaite broke Matsuoka twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Braithwaite has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Braithwaite |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 33 |
| Pts | 109-94 | 119-109 |
| Total Points | 203 | 228 |
| Winners | 47 | 60 |
| %Winners | 43% | 50% |
Both Marchenko and Braithwaite played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Illya Marchenko lost 1 set, while Thomas Braithwaite dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Marchenko and Braithwaite have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Marchenko played 2 games less than Braithwaite. Illya scored 47 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Braithwaite fired 60 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Braithwaite |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 18 | 8 |
| 1st in | 60/109 | 74/107 |
| %1st in | 55% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 60/74 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 25/49 | 16/33 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Marchenko made 18 aces . Braithwaite bagged 8 aces . Marchenko won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Braithwaite won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Braithwaite |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 2/9 |
| % Converted | 42% | 22% |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 |
| Saved | 7 | 5 |
| % Saved | 78% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Ukrainian broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Ukrainian lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Thomas broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Braithwaite was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Marchenko | |||
| Q1 Charlton | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 109-94 | 109-94 | |
| Total points | 203 | 203 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 18 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 60/109 | 60/109 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 47/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/49 | 25/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Braithwaite | |||
| Q1 Matsuoka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 119-109 | 119-109 | |
| Total points | 228 | 228 | |
| Winners | 60 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 74/107 | 74/107 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 60/74 | 60/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bernard TomicTomic – Charles BroomBroom (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Blake EllisEllis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marek GengelGengel – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesse DelaneyDelaney – Matthew HulmeHulme (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Masamichi ImamuraImamura – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Govind NandaNanda – Maxime JanvierJanvier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dane SweenySweeny – Matthew DellavedovaDellavedova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shinji HazawaHazawa – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Adam WaltonWalton (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sam Ryan ZiegannRyan Ziegann – Jacob BrummBrumm (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (1-0) – H2H and prediction