H2H, prediction of Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta in Montpellier with odds, preview, pick | 27th January 2025

PREVIEW. Montpellier. Kovacevic and Carreno-Busta will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Open Occitanie. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 27th of January

Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the qualifications of the Open Occitanie for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.5
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 2.45

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aleksandar Kovacevic
Aleksandar Kovacevic

8 - 3win/loss

Hard
1-2
I Hard
7-1
Rank
77
High
72
LLWWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-5 1-2 0-0 12-3 0-0 0-0
2024 29-35 20-17 5-8 2-6 2-4 0-0
2023 43-27 34-15 0-5 7-2 2-5 0-0
2022 41-31 22-18 4-4 15-9 0-0 0-0
2021 20-17 11-10 2-3 7-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 109, the American got to the qualifications after beating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the qualifications, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Bertrand (7-64 6-4). During the match, Kovacevic scored 84 points vs Bertrand’s 72. The American was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kovacevic made 10 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aleksandar Kovacevic was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (31/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Aleksandar broke Bertrand 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Kovacevic has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (189-152). 7-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has a composed48-32 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

The American has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montpellier

Aleksandar has never competed in this tournament before.

Kovacevic
Montpellier
Kovacevic's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

3 - 4win/loss

Hard
2-4
I Hard
1-0
Rank
111
High
10
WWWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-5 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 182, the Spaniard got to the qualifications after defeating Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 7-5.

In the qualifications, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-4 7-5). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 88 points vs Svrcina’s 77. Pablo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 76% (38/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Svrcina 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).

Pablo has an overall 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Carreno-Busta
Montpellier
Carreno-Busta's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Kovacevic
P.Carreno-Busta
1h:56
1h:56
Time on court​
1h:57
1h:57
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
1h:57
1h:57
1
1
Match played
1
1
23
23
Games Played​
22
22
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
84
84
Total points​
88
88
84
84
Avg point​
88
88
31
31
Winners
38
38
31
31
Avg Winners​
38
38
37%
37%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
5
5
10
10
Avg Aces
5
5
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
2
2
31/38
31/38
1st won total​
38/50
38/50
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
17/31
17/31
2nd won total​
11/28
11/28
55%
55%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
4/17
4/17
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4/17
4/17
38%
38%
Won
!
24%
24%
9
9
Conceded
5
5
9
9
Avg Conceded
5
5
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
7
7
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kovacevic Carreno-Busta
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 22
Pts 84-72 88-77
Total Points 156 165
Winners 31 38
%Winners 37% 43%

Both Kovacevic and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kovacevic and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kovacevic played 1 game more than Carreno-Busta. Kovacevic scored 31 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Carreno-Busta recorded 38 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kovacevic Carreno-Busta
Aces 10 5
Avg per match 10 5
1st in 38/69 50/78
%1st in 55% 64%
1st pts 31/38 38/50
%1st pts 82% 76%
2nd pts 17/31 11/28
%2nd pts 55% 39%

Kovacevic scored 10 aces . Carreno-Busta blasted 5 aces . Kovacevic won 82% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kovacevic Carreno-Busta
Won 3 4
Converted 3/8 4/17
% Converted 38% 24%
Conceded 9 5
Saved 7 3
% Saved 78% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

Aleksandar broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovacevic
Q1
Bertrand
Total
Score 7-64 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 84-72 84-72
Total points 156 156
Winners 31 31
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 38/69 38/69
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 31/38 31/38
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 17/31 17/31
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 7/9 7
Saved % 78% 78%
Times Broken 2 2
Carreno-Busta
Q1
Svrcina
Total
Score 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 88-77 88-77
Total points 165 165
Winners 38 38
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 50/78 50/78
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 38/50 38/50
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 11/28 11/28
% 2nd pts 39% 39%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/17 4/17
Converted % 24% 24%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Kovacevic
LLWWWWWWLW
Carreno-Busta
WWWWWWWWWL
2025 2024 2023
13 - 5
12 - 5
1-2
Hard
11-4
12-3
I Hard
1-1
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw