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Aleksandar Kovacevic and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the qualifications of the Open Occitanie for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.5
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 13-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 109, the American got to the qualifications after beating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Bertrand (7-64 6-4). During the match, Kovacevic scored 84 points vs Bertrand’s 72. The American was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovacevic made 10 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aleksandar Kovacevic was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (31/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Aleksandar broke Bertrand 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Kovacevic has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (189-152). 7-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has a composed48-32 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
The American has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Aleksandar has never competed in this tournament before.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-5 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182, the Spaniard got to the qualifications after defeating Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-4 7-5). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 88 points vs Svrcina’s 77. Pablo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 76% (38/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Svrcina 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).
Pablo has an overall 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Kovacevic | Carreno-Busta |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 23 | 22 |
Pts | 84-72 | 88-77 |
Total Points | 156 | 165 |
Winners | 31 | 38 |
%Winners | 37% | 43% |
Both Kovacevic and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kovacevic and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kovacevic played 1 game more than Carreno-Busta. Kovacevic scored 31 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Carreno-Busta recorded 38 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Kovacevic | Carreno-Busta |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 5 |
Avg per match | 10 | 5 |
1st in | 38/69 | 50/78 |
%1st in | 55% | 64% |
1st pts | 31/38 | 38/50 |
%1st pts | 82% | 76% |
2nd pts | 17/31 | 11/28 |
%2nd pts | 55% | 39% |
Kovacevic scored 10 aces . Carreno-Busta blasted 5 aces . Kovacevic won 82% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Kovacevic | Carreno-Busta |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 4 |
Converted | 3/8 | 4/17 |
% Converted | 38% | 24% |
Conceded | 9 | 5 |
Saved | 7 | 3 |
% Saved | 78% | 60% |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Aleksandar broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
Kovacevic | |||
Q1 Bertrand |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-64 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
pts | 84-72 | 84-72 | |
Total points | 156 | 156 | |
Winners | 31 | 31 | |
%Winners | 37% | 37% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 10 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 38/69 | 38/69 | |
% 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
1st pts | 31/38 | 31/38 | |
% 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Carreno-Busta | |||
Q1 Svrcina |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 88-77 | 88-77 | |
Total points | 165 | 165 | |
Winners | 38 | 38 | |
%Winners | 43% | 43% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 5 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 50/78 | 50/78 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
1st pts | 38/50 | 38/50 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/28 | |
% 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/17 | 4/17 | |
Converted % | 24% | 24% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
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