Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev will face off in the final of the Australian Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.35
Alexander Zverev -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 7th time that Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev – Cincinnati 18-August-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Jannik got to the final after beating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1, Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 6-2, Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2, Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-2 6-1 and Ben Shelton 7-6(2) 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Shelton (7-62 6-2 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 118 points vs Shelton’s 89. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (38/51) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Shelton 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 74% of his matches (352-121). 6-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled144-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Jannik’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
Sinner has an overall 6-0 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-8 | 11-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev reached the final after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1, Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 6-4, Ugo Humbert 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(1) 7-6(0) 2-6 6-1 and Novak Djokovic 7-6(5) ret..
In the semifinal against Djokovic, Zverev had a free pass after Djokovic retired on a 7-65 . scoreline.
Alexander’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
Alexander has a compiled 8-0 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 20 | 19 |
| Tot Games | 184 | 169 |
| Pts | 660-501 | 588-453 |
| Total Points | 1161 | 1041 |
| Winners | 256 | 279 |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% |
Both Sinner and Zverev played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets, while Alexander Zverev surrendered 2 sets. Sinner has played 1 set more than Zverev (20 vs 19). Therefore, Sinner played 15 games more than Zverev. Jannik scored 256 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 279 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 53 | 67 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 11.2 |
| 1st in | 318/537 | 359/501 |
| %1st in | 59% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 256/318 | 279/359 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 136/219 | 80/142 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 56% |
Sinner scored 53 aces (8.8 per match). Zverev managed to score 67 aces (11.2 per match). Sinner won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 28 | 24 |
| Converted | 28/59 | 24/71 |
| % Converted | 47% | 34% |
| Conceded | 23 | 35 |
| Saved | 18 | 27 |
| % Saved | 78% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
The Italian broke his opponents 28 times with a 47% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 24 times with a 34% conversion rate. Zverev conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||||
| R1 Jarry |
R2 Schoolkate |
R3 Giron |
R4 Rune |
1/4 De Minaur |
1/2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-65 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 36 | 27 | 35 | 24 | 29 | 184 | |
| pts | 111-88 | 129-109 | 96-69 | 120-95 | 86-51 | 118-89 | 660-501 | |
| Total points | 199 | 238 | 165 | 215 | 137 | 207 | 1161 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | 41 | 49 | 32 | 38 | 256 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 32% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 53 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 58/101 | 62/100 | 50/83 | 59/105 | 38/59 | 51/89 | 318/537 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 62% | 60% | 56% | 64% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 48/62 | 41/50 | 49/59 | 32/38 | 38/51 | 256/318 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 82% | 83% | 84% | 75% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/43 | 21/38 | 17/33 | 27/46 | 17/21 | 24/38 | 136/219 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 52% | 59% | 81% | 63% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 28 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/13 | 5/10 | 4/8 | 6/10 | 6/13 | 28/59 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 46% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 5/7 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 86% | 80% | 100% | 71% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Zverev | ||||||||
| R1 Pouille |
R2 Martinez Portero |
R3 Fearnley |
R4 Humbert |
1/4 Paul |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2 | 7-61 7-60 2-6 6-1 | 7-65 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 29 | 32 | 41 | 13 | 169 | |
| pts | 112-89 | 91-54 | 92-68 | 109-81 | 135-118 | 49-43 | 588-453 | |
| Total points | 201 | 145 | 160 | 190 | 253 | 92 | 1041 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 67 | 24 | 279 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 49% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 67 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 64/88 | 54/73 | 58/81 | 61/86 | 93/135 | 29/38 | 359/501 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 72% | 71% | 69% | 76% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 41/54 | 46/58 | 51/61 | 67/93 | 24/29 | 279/359 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 79% | 84% | 72% | 83% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 12/19 | 12/23 | 12/25 | 22/42 | 7/9 | 80/142 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | 52% | 48% | 52% | 78% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 24 | |
| Converted | 3/18 | 6/13 | 5/12 | 6/16 | 4/7 | 0/5 | 24/71 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 57% | 0% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 35 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 7/11 | 3/3 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 64% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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