H2H, prediction of Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 24th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Zverev and Djokovic will square off in the semifinal of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 24th of January

Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Novak Djokovic

Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic will play each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.63
Alexander Zverev -> 2.33

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Novak Djokovic

This will be the 13th time that Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Djokovic won 7-6(5) 7-5 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev – Cincinnati 19-August-2023

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev

7 - 0win/loss

Hard
7-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
2
High
2
LWWWWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-8 11-4 10-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Alexander reached the semifinal after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1, Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 6-4, Ugo Humbert 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2 and Tommy Paul 7-6(1) 7-6(0) 2-6 6-1.

In the quarter, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-61 7-60 2-6 6-1). During the match, Zverev scored 135 points vs Paul’s 118. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 67 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev bagged 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (67/93) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The German broke Paul 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Zverev has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (454-174). 7-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has a composed 188-75 record in the last years on hard.

Alexander has an overall 7-0 win-loss record in 2025, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Zverev
Australian Open
Zverev's Record

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

7 - 1win/loss

Hard
7-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
5
High
1
LLLWWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-7 12-5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Novak reached the semifinal after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-2, Jaime Faria 6-1 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-1 6-4 6-4, Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-4 7-6(4) and Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter against Alcaraz, The Serbian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match Djokovic scored 135 points vs Alcaraz’s 126. The Serbian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 54 winners.

About the serving games, Djokovic bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 63% of his first serves in, winning 63% (54/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (29/50) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Alcaraz 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Novak has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a compiled 7-1 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, he won this tournament 10 times in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2023. See his history.

Djokovic
Australian Open
Djokovic's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
N.Djokovic
12h:01
12h:01
Time on court​
14h:37
14h:37
!
3h:28
3h:28
Last match​
!
3h:37
3h:37
5
5
Match played
5
5
156
156
Games Played​
172
172
17
17
Set played​​
18
18
539
539
Total points​
596
596
107.8
107.8
Avg point​
119.2
119.2
255
255
Winners
251
251
51
51
Avg Winners​
50.2
50.2
47%
47%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
59
59
Aces
60
60
!
11.8
11.8
Avg Aces
!
12
12
13
13
Double Faults
16
16
2.6
2.6
Avg Double Faults
3.2
3.2
255/330
255/330
1st won total​
251/337
251/337
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
73/133
73/133
2nd won total​
111/189
111/189
55%
55%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
24/66
24/66
BP won
25/62
25/62
4.8/13.2
4.8/13.2
Avg BP won
5/12.4
5/12.4
36%
36%
Won
40%
40%
32
32
Conceded
27
27
6.4
6.4
Avg Conceded
5.4
5.4
8
8
Broken
9
9
1.6
1.6
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
24
24
Saved
18
18

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Djokovic
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 17 18
Tot Games 156 172
Pts 539-410 596-484
Total Points 949 1080
Winners 255 251
%Winners 47% 42%

Both Zverev and Djokovic played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev dropped 2 sets, while Novak Djokovic lost 3 sets. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Djokovic (17 vs 18). Therefore, Zverev played 16 games less than Djokovic. Zverev scored 255 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Novak fired 251 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Djokovic
Aces 59 60
Avg per match 11.8 12
1st in 330/463 337/526
%1st in 71% 64%
1st pts 255/330 251/337
%1st pts 77% 74%
2nd pts 73/133 111/189
%2nd pts 55% 59%

Zverev made 59 aces (11.8 per match). Djokovic scored 60 aces (12 per match). Zverev won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Djokovic
Won 24 25
Converted 24/66 25/62
% Converted 36% 40%
Conceded 32 27
Saved 24 18
% Saved 75% 67%
Times Broken 8 9

The German broke his opponents 24 times with a 36% conversion rate. Alexander surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Serbian broke his opponents 25 times with a 40% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
R1
Pouille
R2
Martinez Portero
R3
Fearnley
R4
Humbert
1/4
Paul
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2 7-61 7-60 2-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 3 4 4 17
Tot Games 30 24 29 32 41 156
pts 112-89 91-54 92-68 109-81 135-118 539-410
Total points 201 145 160 190 253 949
Winners 50 41 46 51 67 255
%Winners 45% 45% 50% 47% 50% 47%
SERVE
Aces 18 8 7 19 7 59
Double Faults 2 2 1 3 5 13
1st in 64/88 54/73 58/81 61/86 93/135 330/463
% 1st in 73% 74% 72% 71% 69% 71%
1st pts 50/64 41/54 46/58 51/61 67/93 255/330
% 1st pts 78% 76% 79% 84% 72% 77%
2nd pts 15/24 12/19 12/23 12/25 22/42 73/133
% 2nd pts 63% 63% 52% 48% 52% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 6 5 6 4 24
Converted 3/18 6/13 5/12 6/16 4/7 24/66
Converted % 17% 46% 42% 38% 57% 36%
Conceded 2 6 6 7 11 32
Saved 2/2 6/6 4/6 5/7 7/11 24
Saved % 100% 100% 67% 71% 64% 80%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2 4 8
Djokovic
R1
Basavareddy
R2
Faria
R3
Machac
R4
Lehecka
1/4
Alcaraz
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-74 6-3 6-2 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-4 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 4 4 3 3 4 18
Tot Games 37 37 27 32 39 172
pts 129-106 128-92 96-70 108-90 135-126 596-484
Total points 235 220 166 198 261 1080
Winners 56 56 41 44 54 251
%Winners 43% 44% 43% 41% 40% 42%
SERVE
Aces 23 14 9 9 5 60
Double Faults 4 2 4 3 3 16
1st in 72/106 74/113 51/79 54/92 86/136 337/526
% 1st in 68% 65% 65% 59% 63% 64%
1st pts 56/72 56/74 41/51 44/54 54/86 251/337
% 1st pts 78% 76% 80% 81% 63% 74%
2nd pts 21/34 22/39 15/28 24/38 29/50 111/189
% 2nd pts 62% 56% 54% 63% 58% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 7 5 3 6 25
Converted 4/11 7/12 5/15 3/11 6/13 25/62
Converted % 36% 58% 33% 27% 46% 40%
Conceded 3 7 3 3 11 27
Saved 2/3 5/7 2/3 2/3 7/11 18
Saved % 67% 71% 67% 67% 64% 67%
Times Broken 1 2 1 1 4 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Zverev
LWWWWWWWLL
Djokovic
LLLWWWWWLL
2025 2024 2023
21 - 8
12 - 7
11-4
Hard
12-5
10-4
Clay
0-2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

  • Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea VavassoriAndre Goransson/Sem VerbeekGoransson/Sem Verbeek (2-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry PattenKevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 3-6 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw