Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton will face off in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.157
Ben Shelton -> 5.6
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton
This will be the 6th time that Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 6-4 7-6(1) in the 4th round in Shanghai back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton – Shanghai 09-October-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-1 | 7-0 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1, Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 6-2, Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-2 6-1.
In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 6-2 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 86 points vs De Minaur’s 51. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 81% (17/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke De Minaur 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 74% of his matches (351-121). 5-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed143-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Italian has an aggregate 5-0 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Brandon Nakashima 7-6(3) 7-5 7-5, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(5), Gael Monfils 7-6(3) 6-7(3) 7-6(2) 1-0 ret. and Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 7-5 4-6 7-6(4).
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Sonego (6-4 7-5 4-6 7-64). During the match Shelton scored 153 points vs Sonego’s 141. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 75 winners.
Talking about serving, Shelton made 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (75/100) of his 1st serve and 59% (24/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shelton broke Sonego 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ben has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The American has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 17 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 155 | 204 |
| Pts | 542-412 | 636-581 |
| Total Points | 954 | 1217 |
| Winners | 218 | 316 |
| %Winners | 40% | 50% |
Both Sinner and Shelton played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 2 sets, while Ben Shelton surrendered 4 sets. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Shelton (17 vs 20). Therefore, Sinner played 49 games less than Shelton. Jannik scored 218 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Shelton fired 316 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 45 | 56 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 11.2 |
| 1st in | 267/448 | 401/604 |
| %1st in | 60% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 218/267 | 316/401 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 112/181 | 121/203 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 60% |
Sinner made 45 aces (9 per match). Shelton scored 56 aces (11.2 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Shelton won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 15 |
| Converted | 22/46 | 15/34 |
| % Converted | 48% | 44% |
| Conceded | 16 | 29 |
| Saved | 13 | 23 |
| % Saved | 81% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Sinner broke his opponents 22 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Shelton conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||||
| R1 Jarry |
R2 Schoolkate |
R3 Giron |
R4 Rune |
1/4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-65 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 36 | 27 | 35 | 24 | 155 | |
| pts | 111-88 | 129-109 | 96-69 | 120-95 | 86-51 | 542-412 | |
| Total points | 199 | 238 | 165 | 215 | 137 | 954 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | 41 | 49 | 32 | 218 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 58/101 | 62/100 | 50/83 | 59/105 | 38/59 | 267/448 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 62% | 60% | 56% | 64% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 48/62 | 41/50 | 49/59 | 32/38 | 218/267 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 82% | 83% | 84% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/43 | 21/38 | 17/33 | 27/46 | 17/21 | 112/181 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 52% | 59% | 81% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/13 | 5/10 | 4/8 | 6/10 | 22/46 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 86% | 80% | 100% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Shelton | |||||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
R3 Musetti |
R4 Monfils |
1/4 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 6-74 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-65 | 7-63 6-73 7-62 1-0 ret. | 6-4 7-5 4-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 45 | 204 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 119-101 | 121-114 | 127-117 | 153-141 | 636-581 | |
| Total points | 224 | 220 | 235 | 244 | 294 | 1217 | |
| Winners | 49 | 58 | 67 | 67 | 75 | 316 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 49% | 55% | 53% | 49% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 12 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 56 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 67/113 | 68/111 | 83/119 | 83/120 | 100/141 | 401/604 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 70% | 69% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 58/68 | 67/83 | 67/83 | 75/100 | 316/401 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 85% | 81% | 81% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/46 | 30/43 | 17/36 | 20/37 | 24/41 | 121/203 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 70% | 47% | 54% | 59% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 3/11 | 15/34 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 27% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 5/6 | 6/8 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 67% | 83% | 75% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWWWW
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