ORDER OF PLAY and PREVIEW. Aryna Sabalenka, Paula Badosa, Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys are the semifinalists that are going to play on Thursday at the Australian Open on Rod Laver Arena.

[SEE DRAW and ORDER OF PLAY]

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa

Head to head 5-2 for Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka will face Paula Badosa in the semifinal for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena.

Aryna Sabalenka: ranking and results

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka got to the semifinal after defeating Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-2, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 7-5, Clara Tauson 7-6(5) 6-4, Mirra Andreeva 6-1 6-2 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-2 2-6 6-3.

Sabalenka has a 10-0 win-loss record in 2025, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS). The Belarussian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Brisbane.

Last year at the Australian Open Aryna won the title last year in Melbourne after ousting Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2. The Belarussian won the title in Australian Open in 2023 and 2024.

Paula Badosa: ranking and results

Ranked no. 12, Badosa got to the semifinal after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 7-6(5), Talia Gibson 6-1 6-0, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 4-6 6-3, Olga Danilovic 6-1 7-6(2) and Cori Gauff 7-5 6-4.

Badosa has a 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open Paula capitulated in the 3rd round 7-5 6-4 to Amanda Anisimova.

Head to head analysis

This will be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa face off. Their current record is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but Badosa has a winning record of 2-1 on hard.

Before, the last time they played each other, Sabalenka won 7-5 6-1 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2024.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.26
Paula Badosa -> 4.05

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys

Head to head 4-1 for Swiatek

Iga Swiatek will fight against Madison Keys in the semifinal for the 6th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena.

Iga Swiatek: ranking and results

Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-4, Rebecca Sramkova 6-0 6-2, Emma Raducanu 6-1 6-0, Eva Lys 6-0 6-1 and Emma Navarro 6-1 6-2.

Iga has a 9-1 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS). Iga’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open Iga lost in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-4 to Linda Noskova.

Madison Keys: ranking and results

Ranked no. 14, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Ann Li 6-4 7-5, Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-6(1) 2-6 7-5, Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-4, Elena Rybakina 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Elina Svitolina 3-6 6-3 6-4.

The American has a 12-1 win-loss record in 2025, 12-1 on hard (See FULL STATS). Madison’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Last year at the Australian Open Keys didn’t play at the Australian Open in 2024.

Head to head analysis

This will be the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys fight against each other. Their actual record is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time they locked horns, Swiatek won 6-1 6-3 in the quarter in Rome back in 2024.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.2
Madison Keys -> 4.8

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

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