[UPDATED QF]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Svitolina, Swiatek, Sabalenka to win the Australian Open

Australian Open draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to overcome Elina Svitolina, Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the title in the Australian Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 3 wins away to conquer the title at the Australian Open. Madison has defeated Ann Li 6-4 7-5, Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-61 2-6 7-5, Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-3 1-6 6-3 to reach the quarter where she will face Elina Svitolina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw andherpresumable opposition at the Australian Open. Madison has a losing record (5-10) against the projected opposition.

R1 – Ann Li (84) – 6-4 7-5
R2 – Elena Gabriela Ruse (125) – 7-61 2-6 7-5
R3 – Danielle Rose Collins (11) – 6-4 6-4
R4 – Elena Rybakina (7) – 6-3 1-6 6-3
1/4 – Elina Svitolina (27) – H2H 3-2
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-4
or Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 1-4
or Paula Badosa (12) – H2H 1-0
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/4 – Elina Svitolina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

36 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
3
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-15 14-8 18-3 1-2 3-2 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2020 21-9 9-5 10-2 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 29-14 1-3 4-2 5-3 0-0
2018 44-15 28-10 9-3 5-0 2-2 0-0

Elina Svitolina has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 16 years, Svitolina has a 287-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open the Ukrainian reached the 4th round in 2024 in Melbourne before retiring against Linda Noskova when she was 3-0 ret..

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elina Svitolina

This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Elina Svitolina clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 8-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Swiatek has a 170-43 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Iga’s most significant achievement of the current year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open the Pole was defeated by Linda Noskova in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Madison Keys may play Emma Navarro. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Emma Navarro.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 10-0 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 237-92 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year at the Australian Open Aryna won the title after downing Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Madison Keys could play Paula Badosa. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.