Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.29
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 3rd time that Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sonego won 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2023.
Highlights Lorenzo Sonego vs Ben Shelton – French Open 28-May-2023
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-6 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Shelton reached the quarter after beating Brandon Nakashima 7-6(3) 7-5 7-5, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(5) and Gael Monfils 7-6(3) 6-7(3) 7-6(2) 1-0 ret..
In the 4th round against Monfils, Shelton had a free pass after Monfils retired on a 7-63 6-73 7-62 1-0 . scoreline.
Shelton has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (132-71). 4-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shelton has a composed70-39 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Ben has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-8 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, Sonego reached the quarter after beating Stan Wawrinka 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5, Joao Fonseca 6-7(6) 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3, Fabian Marozsan 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1 6-2 and Learner Tien 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match Sonego scored 116 points vs Tien’s 81. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
About the serving games, Sonego overpowered his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Sonego lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 66% of his first serves in, winning 90% (57/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Tien 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sonego has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shelton | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 16 | 17 |
| Tot Games | 159 | 167 |
| Pts | 483-440 | 540-451 |
| Total Points | 923 | 991 |
| Winners | 241 | 267 |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% |
Both Shelton and Sonego played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ben Shelton surrendered 3 sets, while Lorenzo Sonego surrendered 5 sets. Shelton has played 1 set(s) less than Sonego (16 vs 17). Therefore, Shelton played 8 games less than Sonego. The American scored 241 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo recorded 267 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shelton | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 47 | 59 |
| Avg per match | 11.8 | 14.8 |
| 1st in | 301/463 | 319/497 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 241/301 | 267/319 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 97/162 | 94/178 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 53% |
Shelton recorded 47 aces (11.8 per match). Sonego scored 59 aces (14.8 per match). Shelton won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shelton | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 18 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 18/43 |
| % Converted | 52% | 42% |
| Conceded | 21 | 26 |
| Saved | 17 | 22 |
| % Saved | 81% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Shelton broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Shelton conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shelton | ||||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
R3 Musetti |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 6-74 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-65 | 7-63 6-73 7-62 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 159 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 119-101 | 121-114 | 127-117 | 483-440 | |
| Total points | 224 | 220 | 235 | 244 | 923 | |
| Winners | 49 | 58 | 67 | 67 | 241 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 49% | 55% | 53% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 47 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 67/113 | 68/111 | 83/119 | 83/120 | 301/463 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 70% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 58/68 | 67/83 | 67/83 | 241/301 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 85% | 81% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/46 | 30/43 | 17/36 | 20/37 | 97/162 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 70% | 47% | 54% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 5/6 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 67% | 83% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Sonego | ||||||
| R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Fonseca |
R3 Marozsan |
R4 Tien |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5 | 6-76 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3 | 6-73 7-66 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 47 | 41 | 33 | 167 | |
| pts | 127-117 | 154-132 | 143-121 | 116-81 | 540-451 | |
| Total points | 244 | 286 | 264 | 197 | 991 | |
| Winners | 69 | 72 | 69 | 57 | 267 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 47% | 48% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 59 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 82/132 | 93/140 | 81/130 | 63/95 | 319/497 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 62% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 69/82 | 72/93 | 69/81 | 57/63 | 267/319 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 85% | 90% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 27/47 | 26/49 | 14/32 | 94/178 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 57% | 53% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/12 | 4/15 | 5/11 | 18/43 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 42% | 27% | 45% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 5/6 | 5/5 | 3/4 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 83% | 100% | 75% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWLWL
LWLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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