Iga Swiatek and Emma Navarro will face off in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.085
Emma Navarro -> 8.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Emma Navarro
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Emma Navarro square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-0 6-2 in the 1st round in the Charleston back in 2018.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-10 | 21-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Iga got to the quarter after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-4, Rebecca Sramkova 6-0 6-2, Emma Raducanu 6-1 6-0 and Eva Lys 6-0 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Lys (6-0 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 59 points vs Lys’s 27. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole broke Lys 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 64% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (357-77). 8-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has an overall 170-43 match record in the last years on hard.
The Pole’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.
Swiatek has an overall 8-1 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-13 | 11-7 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-24 | 33-14 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Navarro reached the quarter after beating Peyton Stearns 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5, Xiyu Wang 6-3 3-6 6-4, Ons Jabeur 6-4 3-6 6-4 and Daria Kasatkina 6-4 5-7 7-5.
In the 4th round, The American defeated Kasatkina (6-4 5-7 7-5). During the match Navarro scored 127 points vs Kasatkina’s 115. Navarro was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Navarro scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Emma Navarro lost the serve 8 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (48/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 25% (8/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kasatkina 9 times after converting 36% of her break points (9/25).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Emma has an overall 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 129 |
| Pts | 232-129 | 439-413 |
| Total Points | 361 | 852 |
| Winners | 87 | 167 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Swiatek and Navarro played 4 matches. At the moment, Emma Navarro dropped 4 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Navarro (8 vs 12). Therefore, Swiatek played 70 games less than Navarro. Swiatek scored 87 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Emma struck 167 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 107/166 | 263/407 |
| %1st in | 64% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 87/107 | 167/263 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 37/59 | 56/144 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 39% |
Swiatek made 8 aces (2 per match). Navarro made 10 aces (2.5 per match). Swiatek won 81% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 30 |
| Converted | 19/32 | 30/66 |
| % Converted | 59% | 45% |
| Conceded | 5 | 48 |
| Saved | 3 | 21 |
| % Saved | 60% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 27 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 19 times with a 59% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Emma broke her opponents 30 times with a 45% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 27 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R1 Siniakova |
R2 Sramkova |
R3 Raducanu |
R4 Lys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 59 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 49-26 | 59-29 | 59-27 | 232-129 | |
| Total points | 112 | 75 | 88 | 86 | 361 | |
| Winners | 31 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 31% | 34% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 39/55 | 18/37 | 24/35 | 26/39 | 107/166 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 49% | 69% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 15/18 | 20/24 | 21/26 | 87/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 83% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 13/19 | 8/11 | 9/13 | 37/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 68% | 73% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/6 | 5/12 | 5/9 | 19/32 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 83% | 42% | 56% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | – | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Navarro | ||||||
| R1 Stearns |
R2 Wang |
R3 Jabeur |
R4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-65 7-5 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 129 | |
| pts | 130-121 | 90-84 | 92-93 | 127-115 | 439-413 | |
| Total points | 251 | 174 | 185 | 242 | 852 | |
| Winners | 43 | 37 | 39 | 48 | 167 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 42% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 69/117 | 56/85 | 63/98 | 75/107 | 263/407 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 64% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 43/69 | 37/56 | 39/63 | 48/75 | 167/263 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 66% | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 11/29 | 13/35 | 8/32 | 56/144 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 38% | 37% | 25% | 39% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 7/12 | 6/14 | 9/25 | 30/66 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 58% | 43% | 36% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 48 | |
| Saved | 4/11 | 4/10 | 10/16 | 3/11 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 36% | 40% | 63% | 27% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
LLWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Cori GauffGauff (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Miyu Kato/Renata ZarazuaKato/Renata Zarazua (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gustav HanssonHansson – Bart StevensStevens (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras – Karl FribergFriberg (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ronald SlobodchikovSlobodchikov – Florian LakatLakat (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Markus ErikssonEriksson – George BotezanBotezan (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (5-2) – H2H and prediction
