Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa will face off in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:30 am on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.152
Paula Badosa -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 7th time that Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Gauff and Badosa (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.
The last time that they played, Gauff won 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in Beijing back in 2024.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Paula Badosa – Beijing 05-October-2024
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-11 | 17-6 | 18-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Gauff got to the quarter after defeating Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-3, Jodie Anna Burrage 6-3 7-5, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2 and Belinda Bencic 5-7 6-2 6-1.
In the 4th round against Bencic, Gauff recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-1). During the match, Gauff scored 104 points vs Bencic’s 81. Cori was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff blasted 8 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 62% of her first serves in, winning 77% (48/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Bencic 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (238-100). 9-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has a compiled139-58 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.
Cori has an aggregate 9-0 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Paula Badosa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Badosa reached the quarter after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 7-6(5), Talia Gibson 6-1 6-0, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Olga Danilovic 6-1 7-6(2).
In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Danilovic (6-1 7-62). During the match Badosa scored 65 points vs Danilovic’s 48. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa fired 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 67% of her first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Danilovic 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Paula has a composed 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 84 |
| Pts | 315-242 | 296-235 |
| Total Points | 557 | 531 |
| Winners | 138 | 125 |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% |
Both Gauff and Badosa played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff lost 1 set, while Paula Badosa surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gauff and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 9. They also played the same amount of games (84). Gauff scored 138 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Paula recorded 125 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 180/286 | 174/274 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 138/180 | 125/174 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 47/106 | 55/100 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 55% |
Gauff recorded 28 aces (7 per match). Badosa scored 16 aces (4 per match). Gauff won 77% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 17 |
| Converted | 18/37 | 17/31 |
| % Converted | 49% | 55% |
| Conceded | 18 | 23 |
| Saved | 11 | 15 |
| % Saved | 61% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 8 |
Gauff broke her opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Anna |
R3 Annie |
R4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 21 | 18 | 27 | 84 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 75-60 | 61-42 | 104-81 | 315-242 | |
| Total points | 134 | 135 | 103 | 185 | 557 | |
| Winners | 40 | 26 | 24 | 48 | 138 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 35% | 39% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29 | |
| 1st in | 52/74 | 39/67 | 27/45 | 62/100 | 180/286 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 58% | 60% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/52 | 26/39 | 24/27 | 48/62 | 138/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 89% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/22 | 15/28 | 10/18 | 16/38 | 47/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 27% | 54% | 56% | 42% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/11 | 4/10 | 5/7 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 45% | 40% | 71% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 40% | 0% | 67% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Gibson |
R3 Kostyuk |
R4 Danilovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-1 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 13 | 29 | 20 | 84 | |
| pts | 65-62 | 51-21 | 115-104 | 65-48 | 296-235 | |
| Total points | 127 | 72 | 219 | 113 | 531 | |
| Winners | 34 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 37% | 36% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 51/69 | 22/40 | 63/108 | 38/57 | 174/274 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 55% | 58% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 19/22 | 41/63 | 31/38 | 125/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 86% | 65% | 82% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 12/18 | 24/45 | 9/19 | 55/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 67% | 53% | 47% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/5 | 5/15 | 4/8 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 13/17 | 1/3 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 76% | 33% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLLWWW
LLWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
