Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.53
Novak Djokovic -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 8th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Djokovic won 7-6(3) 7-6(2) in the final in Paris back in 2024.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz – Paris 04-August-2024
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-5 | 10-4 | 17-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz got to the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 7-5 6-1, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-1 6-4, Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4 6-7(3) 6-2 and Jack Draper 7-5 6-1 ret..
In the 4th round against Draper, the Spaniard had a free pass after Draper retired on a 7-5 6-1 . scoreline.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (291-78). 4-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an overall101-27 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Spaniard has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-7 | 12-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Djokovic reached the quarter after defeating Nishesh Basavareddy 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-2, Jaime Faria 6-1 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-1 6-4 6-4 and Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 4th round, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 6-4 7-64). During the match Djokovic scored 108 points vs Lehecka’s 90. Djokovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Djokovic made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Djokovic broke Lehecka 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Novak has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, he won this tournament 10 times in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 133 |
| Pts | 390-274 | 461-358 |
| Total Points | 664 | 819 |
| Winners | 154 | 197 |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Alcaraz and Djokovic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set, while Novak Djokovic lost 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Djokovic (13 vs 14). Therefore, Alcaraz played 26 games less than Djokovic. The Spaniard scored 154 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Novak recorded 197 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 55 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 13.8 |
| 1st in | 191/309 | 251/390 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 154/191 | 197/251 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 70/118 | 82/139 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Alcaraz recorded 35 aces (8.8 per match). Djokovic scored 55 aces (13.8 per match). Alcaraz won 81% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 19 |
| Converted | 23/54 | 19/49 |
| % Converted | 43% | 39% |
| Conceded | 10 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 70% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 23 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 19 times with a 39% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Nishioka |
R3 Borges |
R4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 6-1 | 6-0 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 23 | 39 | 19 | 107 | |
| pts | 102-68 | 80-41 | 134-112 | 74-53 | 390-274 | |
| Total points | 170 | 121 | 246 | 127 | 664 | |
| Winners | 33 | 32 | 56 | 33 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% | 42% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 48/81 | 36/60 | 67/109 | 40/59 | 191/309 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 60% | 61% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 32/36 | 56/67 | 33/40 | 154/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 89% | 84% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 17/24 | 24/42 | 7/19 | 70/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 71% | 57% | 37% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | |
| Converted | 8/19 | 6/10 | 5/13 | 4/12 | 23/54 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 60% | 38% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 100% | 67% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Djokovic | ||||||
| R1 Basavareddy |
R2 Faria |
R3 Machac |
R4 Lehecka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-74 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | 27 | 32 | 133 | |
| pts | 129-106 | 128-92 | 96-70 | 108-90 | 461-358 | |
| Total points | 235 | 220 | 166 | 198 | 819 | |
| Winners | 56 | 56 | 41 | 44 | 197 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 23 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 55 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 74/113 | 51/79 | 54/92 | 251/390 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 65% | 59% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 56/72 | 56/74 | 41/51 | 44/54 | 197/251 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 80% | 81% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 22/39 | 15/28 | 24/38 | 82/139 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 56% | 54% | 63% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 7/12 | 5/15 | 3/11 | 19/49 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 58% | 33% | 27% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 71% | 67% | 67% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWLW
WWWWWLLLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Pedro Martinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar ClarMartinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar Clar (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-73 7-66 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-610 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (5-7 7-63 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Taylor FritzFritz (3-6 7-5 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-2) – H2H and prediction
