Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul will face off in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.26
Tommy Paul -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Paul won 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in 2022.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev – Indian wells 13-March-2022
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-15 | 15-5 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Alexander reached the quarter after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1, Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Ugo Humbert 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 4th round, Zverev defeated Humbert (6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 109 points vs Humbert’s 81. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev bagged 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 71% of his first serves in, winning 84% (51/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Humbert 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Zverev has a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (453-174). 6-0 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an aggregate 187-75 match record in the last years on hard.
Alexander has a composed 6-0 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-11 | 11-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the American got to the quarter after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-7(5) 7-5, Kei Nishikori 6-7(3) 6-0 6-3 6-1, Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(0) 6-2 6-0 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-1 6-1.
In the 4th round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-1 6-1 6-1). During the match Paul scored 85 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 43. Tommy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Paul made 8 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tommy Paul was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (38/45) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Davidovich Fokina 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The American has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 115 | 132 |
| Pts | 404-292 | 505-367 |
| Total Points | 696 | 872 |
| Winners | 188 | 203 |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% |
Both Zverev and Paul played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev lost 1 set, while Tommy Paul conceded 3 sets. Zverev has played 2 set(s) less than Paul (13 vs 15). Therefore, Zverev played 17 games less than Paul. Zverev scored 188 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Paul bagged 203 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 52 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 237/328 | 257/406 |
| %1st in | 72% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 188/237 | 203/257 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 51/91 | 72/149 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 48% |
Zverev made 52 aces (13 per match). Paul managed to score 38 aces (9.5 per match). Zverev won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 31 |
| Converted | 20/59 | 31/67 |
| % Converted | 34% | 46% |
| Conceded | 21 | 21 |
| Saved | 17 | 13 |
| % Saved | 81% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Alexander broke his opponents 20 times with a 34% conversion rate. Zverev dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 31 times with a 46% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||||
| R1 Pouille |
R2 Martinez Portero |
R3 Fearnley |
R4 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 29 | 32 | 115 | |
| pts | 112-89 | 91-54 | 92-68 | 109-81 | 404-292 | |
| Total points | 201 | 145 | 160 | 190 | 696 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 188 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 50% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 52 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 64/88 | 54/73 | 58/81 | 61/86 | 237/328 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 72% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 41/54 | 46/58 | 51/61 | 188/237 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 79% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 12/19 | 12/23 | 12/25 | 51/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | 52% | 48% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 3/18 | 6/13 | 5/12 | 6/16 | 20/59 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| R1 O |
R2 Nishikori |
R3 Carballes Baena |
R4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-75 7-5 | 6-73 6-0 6-3 6-1 | 7-60 6-2 6-0 | 6-1 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 49 | 35 | 27 | 21 | 132 | |
| pts | 175-152 | 136-97 | 109-75 | 85-43 | 505-367 | |
| Total points | 327 | 233 | 184 | 128 | 872 | |
| Winners | 73 | 55 | 37 | 38 | 203 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 34% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 15 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 91/149 | 74/104 | 47/86 | 45/67 | 257/406 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 71% | 55% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 73/91 | 55/74 | 37/47 | 38/45 | 203/257 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 74% | 79% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/58 | 11/30 | 20/39 | 12/22 | 72/149 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 37% | 51% | 55% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 31 | |
| Converted | 6/20 | 11/18 | 7/16 | 7/13 | 31/67 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 61% | 44% | 54% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 20% | 60% | 100% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
WLWLLWWWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Pedro Martinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar ClarMartinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar Clar (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Taylor FritzFritz (3-6 7-5 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-73 7-66 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-610 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (5-7 7-63 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-2) – H2H and prediction
