Madison Keys is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the Australian Open. The American has defeated Ann Li 6-4 7-5, Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-61 2-6 7-5 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-4 to reach the 4th round where she will face Elena Rybakina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw alongsideherprojected opponents at the Australian Open. Madison has a unfavourable record (7-12) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Ann Li (84) – 6-4 7-5
R2 – Elena Gabriela Ruse (125) – 7-61 2-6 7-5
R3 – Danielle Rose Collins (11) – 6-4 6-4
R4 – Elena Rybakina (7) – H2H 2-2
1/4 – Elina Svitolina (27) – H2H 3-2
or Veronika Kudermetova (75) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-4
or Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 1-4
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

59 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1

Elena Rybakina has a 6-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 11 years, Elena has a 156-72 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Elena’s most significant achievement of this current year was getting to the semifinal Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open the Kazakhstani capitulated to Anna Blinkova in the 2nd round 6-4 4-6 7-6(20).

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elena Rybakina

This match would represent the 5th time that Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Keys and Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Elina Svitolina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

36 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
3
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-15 14-8 18-3 1-2 3-2 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2020 21-9 9-5 10-2 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 29-14 1-3 4-2 5-3 0-0
2018 44-15 28-10 9-3 5-0 2-2 0-0

Elina Svitolina has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 16 years, Elina has a 286-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open the Ukrainian got to the 4th round in 2024 in Melbourne before retiring against Linda Noskova when she was 3-0 ret..

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elina Svitolina

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Elina Svitolina play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys may compete against Veronika Kudermetova. Their H2H is 1-0 for Veronika Kudermetova.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 7-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the last 10 years, Iga has a 169-43 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record).

Swiatek’s most significant result of this year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open Swiatek was overcome by Linda Noskova in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 6th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Madison Keys could play Emma Navarro. Their H2H is 2-1 for Emma Navarro.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 9-0 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 236-92 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year at the Australian Open the Belarussian won the title after beating Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Madison Keys could take on Cori Gauff. Their head to head record is 3-2 for Madison Keys.