Lorenzo Sonego and Learner Tien will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:30 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.78
Learner Tien -> 2.04
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Learner Tien
There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Sonego and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-18 | 7-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, Lorenzo reached the 4th round after defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5, Joao Fonseca 6-7(6) 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3 and Fabian Marozsan 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Marozsan, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-66 6-1 6-2). During the match, Sonego scored 143 points vs Marozsan’s 121. Sonego was pretty aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sonego struck 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Sonego was quite effective on serve to win 85% (69/81) of his 1st serve and 53% (26/49) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Marozsan 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has dropped 4 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Sonego has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (293-244). 5-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sonego has an aggregate 78-78 record in the last years on hard.
The Italian has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Learner Tien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-18 | 14-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-14 | 53-8 | 0-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-10 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Tien reached the 4th round after beating Gregoire Barrere 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1, Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 6-2, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 5-7 6-4, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(8) 1-6 7-6(7) and Corentin Moutet 7-6(10) 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moutet (7-610 6-3 6-3). During the match Tien scored 116 points vs Moutet’s 98. Tien was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Tien scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Learner Tien was quite effective on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 55% (28/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The American broke Moutet 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Learner has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sonego | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 134 | 207 |
| Pts | 424-370 | 711-647 |
| Total Points | 794 | 1358 |
| Winners | 210 | 293 |
| %Winners | 50% | 41% |
Sonego played 3 matches while Tien competed in 6 matches. Tien started his run from the qualifications while Sonego had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Sonego dropped 4 sets, while Learner Tien lost 5 sets. Sonego has played 7 set(s) less than Tien (13 vs 20). Therefore, Sonego played 73 games less than Tien. Sonego scored 210 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 293 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sonego | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 40 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 256/402 | 415/679 |
| %1st in | 64% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 210/256 | 293/415 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 80/146 | 131/264 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 50% |
Sonego struck 39 aces (13 per match). Tien made 40 aces (6.7 per match). Sonego won 82% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sonego | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 33 |
| Converted | 13/32 | 33/69 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 22 | 69 |
| Saved | 19 | 45 |
| % Saved | 86% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 24 |
Lorenzo broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Sonego dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Tien broke his opponents 33 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 24 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sonego | |||||
| R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Fonseca |
R3 Marozsan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 7-5 7-5 | 6-76 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3 | 6-73 7-66 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 47 | 41 | 134 | |
| pts | 127-117 | 154-132 | 143-121 | 424-370 | |
| Total points | 244 | 286 | 264 | 794 | |
| Winners | 69 | 72 | 69 | 210 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 47% | 48% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 15 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 82/132 | 93/140 | 81/130 | 256/402 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 69/82 | 72/93 | 69/81 | 210/256 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 27/47 | 26/49 | 80/146 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 57% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/12 | 4/15 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 42% | 27% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 5/6 | 5/5 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 83% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Tien | ||||||||
| Q1 Barrere |
Q2 Pablo Ficovich |
Q3 Kovalik |
R1 Ugo |
R2 Medvedev |
R3 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-64 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 7-63 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 6-78 1-6 7-67 | 7-610 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 19 | 54 | 55 | 31 | 207 | |
| pts | 111-98 | 68-44 | 60-47 | 174-172 | 182-188 | 116-98 | 711-647 | |
| Total points | 209 | 112 | 107 | 346 | 370 | 214 | 1358 | |
| Winners | 35 | 32 | 25 | 74 | 86 | 41 | 293 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 47% | 35% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 41 | |
| 1st in | 50/98 | 37/51 | 28/54 | 102/168 | 142/201 | 56/107 | 415/679 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 73% | 52% | 61% | 71% | 52% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 32/37 | 25/28 | 74/102 | 86/142 | 41/56 | 293/415 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 86% | 89% | 73% | 61% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 8/14 | 16/26 | 29/66 | 26/59 | 28/51 | 131/264 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 62% | 44% | 44% | 55% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 7/20 | 9/15 | 6/15 | 33/69 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 67% | 35% | 60% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 13 | 69 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 7/14 | 14/24 | 10/13 | 45 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 58% | 77% | 151% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 24 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWLWL
WLWWLWLWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jack DraperDraper (7-5 6-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-2) – H2H and prediction
