H2H, prediction of Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 20th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Sinner and Rune will play each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 20th of January

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Holger Rune

Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.096
Holger Rune -> 7.1

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Sinner and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in 2024.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune – Monte carlo 12-April-2024

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

3 - 0win/loss

Hard
3-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-0 7-0 5-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Sinner got to the 4th round after defeating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1, Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 and Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 96 points vs Giron’s 69. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 82% (41/50) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Giron 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 74% of his matches (349-121). 3-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled141-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Sinner has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Sinner
Australian Open
Sinner's Record

Holger Rune

Holger Rune
Holger Rune

3 - 1win/loss

Hard
3-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
10
High
4
LWLWWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-11 9-5 6-4 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, the Dane reached the 4th round after beating Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 7-6(6) and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-7(5) 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Holger had a tough win against Kecmanovic to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Rune scored 157 points vs Kecmanovic’s 150. Rune was quite aggressive to blast 73 winners.

Talking about serving, Rune made 16 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (73/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (28/63) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Kecmanovic 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Rune has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.

Rune
Australian Open
Rune's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
H.Rune
7h:27
7h:27
Time on court​
10h:04
10h:04
!
2h:01
2h:01
Last match​
!
3h:27
3h:27
3
3
Match played
3
3
96
96
Games Played​
143
143
10
10
Set played​​
14
14
336
336
Total points​
442
442
112
112
Avg point​
147.3
147.3
137
137
Winners
194
194
45.7
45.7
Avg Winners​
64.7
64.7
41%
41%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
29
29
Aces
34
34
9.7
9.7
Avg Aces
!
11.3
11.3
8
8
Double Faults
15
15
2.7
2.7
Avg Double Faults
5
5
137/170
137/170
1st won total​
194/262
194/262
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
68/114
68/114
2nd won total​
87/154
87/154
60%
60%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
12/28
12/28
BP won
14/35
14/35
4/9.3
4/9.3
Avg BP won
4.7/11.7
4.7/11.7
43%
43%
Won
40%
40%
10
10
Conceded
24
24
3.3
3.3
Avg Conceded
8
8
2
2
Broken
12
12
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
4
4
8
8
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Rune
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 14
Tot Games 96 143
Pts 336-266 442-414
Total Points 602 856
Winners 137 194
%Winners 41% 44%

Both Sinner and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set, while Holger Rune dropped 5 sets. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Rune (10 vs 14). Therefore, Sinner played 47 games less than Rune. The Italian scored 137 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Rune made 194 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Rune
Aces 29 34
Avg per match 9.7 11.3
1st in 170/284 262/416
%1st in 60% 63%
1st pts 137/170 194/262
%1st pts 81% 74%
2nd pts 68/114 87/154
%2nd pts 60% 56%

Sinner recorded 29 aces (9.7 per match). Rune recorded 34 aces (11.3 per match). Sinner won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Rune
Won 12 14
Converted 12/28 14/35
% Converted 43% 40%
Conceded 10 24
Saved 8 12
% Saved 80% 50%
Times Broken 2 12

Sinner broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Jarry
R2
Schoolkate
R3
Giron
Total
Score 7-62 7-65 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 4 3 10
Tot Games 33 36 27 96
pts 111-88 129-109 96-69 336-266
Total points 199 238 165 602
Winners 48 48 41 137
%Winners 43% 37% 43% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 14 8 29
Double Faults 1 5 2 8
1st in 58/101 62/100 50/83 170/284
% 1st in 57% 62% 60% 60%
1st pts 48/58 48/62 41/50 137/170
% 1st pts 83% 77% 82% 81%
2nd pts 30/43 21/38 17/33 68/114
% 2nd pts 70% 55% 52% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 5 5 12
Converted 2/5 5/13 5/10 12/28
Converted % 40% 38% 50% 43%
Conceded 2 1 7 10
Saved 2/2 0/1 6/7 8
Saved % 100% 0% 86% 62%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2
Rune
R1
Zhang
R2
Berrettini
R3
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4 7-63 2-6 6-3 7-66 6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 5 4 5 14
Tot Games 48 43 52 143
pts 142-131 143-133 157-150 442-414
Total points 273 276 307 856
Winners 62 59 73 194
%Winners 44% 41% 46% 44%
SERVE
Aces 10 8 16 34
Double Faults 4 6 5 15
1st in 86/131 81/127 95/158 262/416
% 1st in 66% 64% 60% 63%
1st pts 62/86 59/81 73/95 194/262
% 1st pts 72% 73% 77% 74%
2nd pts 31/45 28/46 28/63 87/154
% 2nd pts 69% 61% 44% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7 14
Converted 4/10 3/10 7/15 14/35
Converted % 40% 30% 47% 40%
Conceded 6 10 8 24
Saved 3/6 6/10 3/8 12
Saved % 50% 60% 38% 49%
Times Broken 3 4 5 12

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sinner
WWWWWWWWWW
Rune
LWLWWWWWLL
2025 2024 2023
12 - 0
16 - 10
7-0
Hard
9-5
0-0
I Hard
1-1
5-0
Clay
6-4

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw