
Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.096
Holger Rune -> 7.1
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Sinner and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune – Monte carlo 12-April-2024
Jannik Sinner
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-0 | 7-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sinner got to the 4th round after defeating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1, Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 and Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 96 points vs Giron’s 69. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 82% (41/50) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Giron 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 74% of his matches (349-121). 3-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled141-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Sinner has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Holger Rune
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Dane reached the 4th round after beating Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 7-6(6) and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-7(5) 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Holger had a tough win against Kecmanovic to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Rune scored 157 points vs Kecmanovic’s 150. Rune was quite aggressive to blast 73 winners.
Talking about serving, Rune made 16 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (73/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (28/63) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Kecmanovic 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Rune has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sinner | Rune |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 10 | 14 |
Tot Games | 96 | 143 |
Pts | 336-266 | 442-414 |
Total Points | 602 | 856 |
Winners | 137 | 194 |
%Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Sinner and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set, while Holger Rune dropped 5 sets. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Rune (10 vs 14). Therefore, Sinner played 47 games less than Rune. The Italian scored 137 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Rune made 194 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sinner | Rune |
---|---|---|
Aces | 29 | 34 |
Avg per match | 9.7 | 11.3 |
1st in | 170/284 | 262/416 |
%1st in | 60% | 63% |
1st pts | 137/170 | 194/262 |
%1st pts | 81% | 74% |
2nd pts | 68/114 | 87/154 |
%2nd pts | 60% | 56% |
Sinner recorded 29 aces (9.7 per match). Rune recorded 34 aces (11.3 per match). Sinner won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sinner | Rune |
---|---|---|
Won | 12 | 14 |
Converted | 12/28 | 14/35 |
% Converted | 43% | 40% |
Conceded | 10 | 24 |
Saved | 8 | 12 |
% Saved | 80% | 50% |
Times Broken | 2 | 12 |
Sinner broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
Sinner | |||||
R1 Jarry |
R2 Schoolkate |
R3 Giron |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-62 7-65 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 36 | 27 | 96 | |
pts | 111-88 | 129-109 | 96-69 | 336-266 | |
Total points | 199 | 238 | 165 | 602 | |
Winners | 48 | 48 | 41 | 137 | |
%Winners | 43% | 37% | 43% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 7 | 14 | 8 | 29 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
1st in | 58/101 | 62/100 | 50/83 | 170/284 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 62% | 60% | 60% | |
1st pts | 48/58 | 48/62 | 41/50 | 137/170 | |
% 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 82% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 30/43 | 21/38 | 17/33 | 68/114 | |
% 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 52% | 60% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
Converted | 2/5 | 5/13 | 5/10 | 12/28 | |
Converted % | 40% | 38% | 50% | 43% | |
Conceded | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 8 | |
Saved % | 100% | 0% | 86% | 62% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Rune | |||||
R1 Zhang |
R2 Berrettini |
R3 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 7-63 2-6 6-3 7-66 | 6-75 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
Tot Games | 48 | 43 | 52 | 143 | |
pts | 142-131 | 143-133 | 157-150 | 442-414 | |
Total points | 273 | 276 | 307 | 856 | |
Winners | 62 | 59 | 73 | 194 | |
%Winners | 44% | 41% | 46% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
1st in | 86/131 | 81/127 | 95/158 | 262/416 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 64% | 60% | 63% | |
1st pts | 62/86 | 59/81 | 73/95 | 194/262 | |
% 1st pts | 72% | 73% | 77% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 31/45 | 28/46 | 28/63 | 87/154 | |
% 2nd pts | 69% | 61% | 44% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | |
Converted | 4/10 | 3/10 | 7/15 | 14/35 | |
Converted % | 40% | 30% | 47% | 40% | |
Conceded | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24 | |
Saved | 3/6 | 6/10 | 3/8 | 12 | |
Saved % | 50% | 60% | 38% | 49% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
Head 2 Head



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