Paula Badosa and Olga Danilovic will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.44
Olga Danilovic -> 2.79

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa vs. Olga Danilovic

This will be the 4th time that Paula Badosa and Olga Danilovic square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Danilovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Danilovic won 6-4 7-5 in the 1st round in the Guadalajara back in 2019.

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa

4 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
9
High
2
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-10 12-7 3-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Paula got to the 4th round after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 7-6(5), Talia Gibson 6-1 6-0 and Marta Kostyuk 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Badosa defeated Kostyuk (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Badosa scored 115 points vs Kostyuk’s 104. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Badosa managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 4 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 58% of her first serves in, winning 65% (41/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.

Badosa has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (301-169). 4-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has a composed 119-68 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Spaniard has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Badosa's Record

Olga Danilovic

Olga Danilovic

3 - 1win/loss

Hard
3-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
39
High
33
LWWLLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-11 3-4 13-4 1-1 2-2 0-0
2024 38-19 11-4 25-12 0-1 2-2 0-0
2023 26-15 4-6 17-6 2-1 3-2 0-0
2022 19-14 0-2 16-10 3-2 0-0 0-0
2021 20-15 10-5 10-6 0-2 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 55, the Serbian got to the 4th round after beating Arantxa Rus 6-4 6-4, Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 6-2 and Jessica Pegula 7-6(3) 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Olga had a good straight sets win against Pegula (7-63 6-1). During the match Danilovic scored 70 points vs Pegula’s 56. Olga was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Danilovic blasted 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Olga Danilovic was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (42/55) of her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Danilovic broke Pegula twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Danilovic has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.

Australian Open
Danilovic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Badosa
O.Danilovic
4h:47
4h:47
Time on court​
4h:12
4h:12
!
2h:32
2h:32
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
64
64
Games Played​
55
55
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
231
231
Total points​
198
198
77
77
Avg point​
66
66
94
94
Winners
89
89
31.3
31.3
Avg Winners​
29.7
29.7
41%
41%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
13
13
3
3
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
7
7
Double Faults
4
4
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
94/136
94/136
1st won total​
89/121
89/121
69%
69%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
46/81
46/81
2nd won total​
27/44
27/44
57%
57%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
13/23
13/23
BP won
11/29
11/29
4.3/7.7
4.3/7.7
Avg BP won
3.7/9.7
3.7/9.7
!
57%
57%
Won
38%
38%
20
20
Conceded
9
9
6.7
6.7
Avg Conceded
3
3
6
6
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
14
14
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Badosa Danilovic
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 64 55
Pts 231-187 198-150
Total Points 418 348
Winners 94 89
%Winners 41% 45%

Both Badosa and Danilovic played 3 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa dropped 1 set while Olga Danilovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Badosa has played 1 set more than Danilovic (7 vs 6). Therefore, Badosa played 9 games more than Danilovic. Paula scored 94 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Danilovic bagged 89 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Badosa Danilovic
Aces 9 13
Avg per match 3 4.3
1st in 136/217 121/165
%1st in 63% 73%
1st pts 94/136 89/121
%1st pts 69% 74%
2nd pts 46/81 27/44
%2nd pts 57% 61%

Badosa bagged 9 aces (3 per match). Danilovic struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Badosa won 69% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Danilovic won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Badosa Danilovic
Won 13 11
Converted 13/23 11/29
% Converted 57% 38%
Conceded 20 9
Saved 14 7
% Saved 70% 78%
Times Broken 6 2

The Spaniard broke her opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Olga broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Serbian conceded her serve twice and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.

Badosa
R1
Wang
R2
Gibson
R3
Kostyuk
Total
Score 6-3 7-65 6-1 6-0 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 22 13 29 64
pts 65-62 51-21 115-104 231-187
Total points 127 72 219 418
Winners 34 19 41 94
%Winners 52% 37% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 3 9
Double Faults 2 2 3 7
1st in 51/69 22/40 63/108 136/217
% 1st in 74% 55% 58% 63%
1st pts 34/51 19/22 41/63 94/136
% 1st pts 67% 86% 65% 69%
2nd pts 10/18 12/18 24/45 46/81
% 2nd pts 56% 67% 53% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 5 5 13
Converted 3/3 5/5 5/15 13/23
Converted % 100% 100% 33% 57%
Conceded 3 0 17 20
Saved 1/3 0/0 13/17 14
Saved % 33% 76% 36%
Times Broken 2 0 4 6
Danilovic
R1
Rus
R2
Samsonova
R3
Pegula
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-1 6-2 7-63 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 15 20 55
pts 70-59 58-35 70-56 198-150
Total points 129 93 126 348
Winners 30 17 42 89
%Winners 43% 29% 60% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 5 13
Double Faults 3 0 1 4
1st in 40/55 26/38 55/72 121/165
% 1st in 73% 68% 76% 73%
1st pts 30/40 17/26 42/55 89/121
% 1st pts 75% 65% 76% 74%
2nd pts 9/15 8/12 10/17 27/44
% 2nd pts 60% 67% 59% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 6 2 11
Converted 3/10 6/13 2/6 11/29
Converted % 30% 46% 33% 38%
Conceded 2 1 6 9
Saved 1/2 0/1 6/6 7
Saved % 50% 0% 100% 50%
Times Broken 1 1 0 2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw