Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.189
Ugo Humbert -> 4.7
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 4th time that Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Zverev won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Paris back in 2024.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Ugo Humbert – Paris 03-November-2024
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-15 | 15-5 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev reached the 4th round after beating Lucas Pouille 6-4 6-4 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-4 6-1 and Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 92 points vs Fearnley’s 68. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alexander Zverev was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The German broke Fearnley 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (452-174). 5-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an overall 186-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Zverev has an aggregate 5-0 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-14 | 6-5 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the French player got to the 4th round after defeating Matteo Gigante 7-6(5) 7-5 6-4, Hady Habib 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Arthur Fils 4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret..
In the 3rd round against Fils, the French player had a free pass after Fils retired on a 4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 . scoreline.
Humbert has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 97 |
| Pts | 295-211 | 314-279 |
| Total Points | 506 | 593 |
| Winners | 137 | 143 |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% |
Both Zverev and Humbert played 3 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert conceded 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Zverev has played 2 set(s) less than Humbert (9 vs 11). Therefore, Zverev played 14 games less than Humbert. Alexander scored 137 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 143 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 33 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 176/242 | 182/284 |
| %1st in | 73% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 137/176 | 143/182 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 39/66 | 57/102 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 56% |
Zverev made 33 aces (11 per match). Humbert struck 29 aces (9.7 per match). Zverev won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 11 |
| Converted | 14/43 | 11/29 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 86% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Zverev broke his opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||||
| R1 Pouille |
R2 Martinez Portero |
R3 Fearnley |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 29 | 83 | |
| pts | 112-89 | 91-54 | 92-68 | 295-211 | |
| Total points | 201 | 145 | 160 | 506 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 46 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 7 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 64/88 | 54/73 | 58/81 | 176/242 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 72% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 41/54 | 46/58 | 137/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 12/19 | 12/23 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | 52% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/18 | 6/13 | 5/12 | 14/43 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 46% | 42% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Humbert | |||||
| R1 Gigante |
R2 Habib |
R3 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 29 | 33 | 97 | |
| pts | 115-111 | 94-70 | 105-98 | 314-279 | |
| Total points | 226 | 164 | 203 | 593 | |
| Winners | 50 | 43 | 50 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 17 | 3 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 67/107 | 50/75 | 65/102 | 182/284 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 67% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 50/67 | 43/50 | 50/65 | 143/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 86% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 18/25 | 14/37 | 57/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 72% | 38% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/10 | 5/10 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 30% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 57% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
LLWWLLWWLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tommy PaulPaul (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
