H2H, prediction of Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 19th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Paul and Davidovich Fokina will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 19th of January

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.39
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.99

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Paul won 6-1 6-0 3-6 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – U.S. Open 01-September-2023

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

5 - 1win/loss

Hard
5-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
16
High
8
WLWLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-11 11-4 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the American got to the 4th round after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-7(5) 7-5, Kei Nishikori 6-7(3) 6-0 6-3 6-1 and Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(0) 6-2 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0). During the match, Paul scored 109 points vs Carballes Baena’s 75. Tommy was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Carballes Baena 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (350-202). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an aggregate 182-104 match record in the last years on hard.

Tommy’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.

Tommy has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Paul
Australian Open
Paul's Record

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

4 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
18
High
18
LLWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-20 19-11 9-6 1-1 5-2 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0
2021 30-25 4-6 16-7 9-10 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 66, the Spaniard got to the 4th round after beating Juncheng Shang 7-6(1) 5-2 ret., Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-4 6-1 6-3 and Jakub Mensik 3-6 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 150 points vs Mensik’s 148. Davidovich Fokina was pretty aggressive to blast 74 winners.

Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 5 times and he saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (74/108) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina broke Mensik 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Davidovich Fokina has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open
Davidovich Fokina's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Paul
A.Davidovich Fokina
9h:04
9h:04
Time on court​
10h:12
10h:12
!
2h:23
2h:23
Last match​
!
3h:30
3h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
111
111
Games Played​
122
122
12
12
Set played​​
13
13
420
420
Total points​
407
407
140
140
Avg point​
135.7
135.7
165
165
Winners
173
173
55
55
Avg Winners​
57.7
57.7
39%
39%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
30
30
Aces
11
11
10
10
Avg Aces
3.7
3.7
7
7
Double Faults
10
10
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
165/212
165/212
1st won total​
173/250
173/250
!
78%
78%
1st won %
69%
69%
60/127
60/127
2nd won total​
76/140
76/140
47%
47%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
24/54
24/54
BP won
20/39
20/39
8/18
8/18
Avg BP won
6.7/13
6.7/13
44%
44%
Won
!
51%
51%
18
18
Conceded
36
36
6
6
Avg Conceded
12
12
8
8
Broken
12
12
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
4
4
10
10
Saved
24
24

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Davidovich Fokina
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 12 13
Tot Games 111 122
Pts 420-324 407-366
Total Points 744 773
Winners 165 173
%Winners 39% 43%

Both Paul and Davidovich Fokina played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 3 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 4 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (12 vs 13). Therefore, Paul played 11 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Paul scored 165 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina struck 173 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Davidovich Fokina
Aces 30 11
Avg per match 10 3.7
1st in 212/339 250/390
%1st in 63% 64%
1st pts 165/212 173/250
%1st pts 78% 69%
2nd pts 60/127 76/140
%2nd pts 47% 54%

Paul managed to score 30 aces (10 per match). Davidovich Fokina made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Paul won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Davidovich Fokina
Won 24 20
Converted 24/54 20/39
% Converted 44% 51%
Conceded 18 36
Saved 10 24
% Saved 56% 67%
Times Broken 8 12

The American broke his opponents 24 times with a 44% conversion rate. Paul lost his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
R1
O
R2
Nishikori
R3
Carballes Baena
Total
Score 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-75 7-5 6-73 6-0 6-3 6-1 7-60 6-2 6-0
Tot Set 5 4 3 12
Tot Games 49 35 27 111
pts 175-152 136-97 109-75 420-324
Total points 327 233 184 744
Winners 73 55 37 165
%Winners 42% 40% 34% 39%
SERVE
Aces 15 8 7 30
Double Faults 3 2 2 7
1st in 91/149 74/104 47/86 212/339
% 1st in 61% 71% 55% 63%
1st pts 73/91 55/74 37/47 165/212
% 1st pts 80% 74% 79% 78%
2nd pts 29/58 11/30 20/39 60/127
% 2nd pts 50% 37% 51% 47%
Breaks
Won 6 11 7 24
Converted 6/20 11/18 7/16 24/54
Converted % 30% 61% 44% 44%
Conceded 8 5 5 18
Saved 6/8 1/5 3/5 10
Saved % 75% 20% 60% 52%
Times Broken 2 4 2 8
Davidovich Fokina
R1
Shang
R2
Auger-Aliassime
R3
Mensik
Total
Score 7-61 5-2 ret. 6-77 6-75 6-4 6-1 6-3 3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 5 5 12
Tot Games 20 52 50 122
pts 82-65 175-153 150-148 407-366
Total points 147 328 298 773
Winners 21 78 74 173
%Winners 26% 45% 49% 43%
SERVE
Aces 0 7 4 11
Double Faults 4 3 3 10
1st in 30/58 112/176 108/156 250/390
% 1st in 52% 64% 69% 64%
1st pts 21/30 78/112 74/108 173/250
% 1st pts 70% 70% 69% 69%
2nd pts 15/28 36/64 25/48 76/140
% 2nd pts 54% 56% 52% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 9 6 20
Converted 5/12 9/18 6/9 20/39
Converted % 42% 50% 67% 51%
Conceded 4 10 22 36
Saved 1/4 6/10 17/22 24
Saved % 25% 60% 77% 54%
Times Broken 3 4 5 12

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Paul
WLWLLWWWWL
Davidovich Fokina
LLWWLWWWWL
2025 2024 2023
27 - 11
34 - 20
11-4
Hard
19-11
3-1
I Hard
1-1
12-4
Clay
9-6
1-2
Grass
5-2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw