
Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.39
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.99
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Paul won 6-1 6-0 3-6 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – U.S. Open 01-September-2023
Tommy Paul
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 27-11 | 11-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the American got to the 4th round after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-7(5) 7-5, Kei Nishikori 6-7(3) 6-0 6-3 6-1 and Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(0) 6-2 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0). During the match, Paul scored 109 points vs Carballes Baena’s 75. Tommy was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Carballes Baena 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (350-202). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an aggregate 182-104 match record in the last years on hard.
Tommy’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Tommy has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina


4 - 2win/loss
18
18

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 34-20 | 19-11 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the Spaniard got to the 4th round after beating Juncheng Shang 7-6(1) 5-2 ret., Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-4 6-1 6-3 and Jakub Mensik 3-6 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 150 points vs Mensik’s 148. Davidovich Fokina was pretty aggressive to blast 74 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 5 times and he saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (74/108) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina broke Mensik 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Davidovich Fokina has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 12 | 13 |
Tot Games | 111 | 122 |
Pts | 420-324 | 407-366 |
Total Points | 744 | 773 |
Winners | 165 | 173 |
%Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Paul and Davidovich Fokina played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 3 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 4 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (12 vs 13). Therefore, Paul played 11 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Paul scored 165 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina struck 173 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Aces | 30 | 11 |
Avg per match | 10 | 3.7 |
1st in | 212/339 | 250/390 |
%1st in | 63% | 64% |
1st pts | 165/212 | 173/250 |
%1st pts | 78% | 69% |
2nd pts | 60/127 | 76/140 |
%2nd pts | 47% | 54% |
Paul managed to score 30 aces (10 per match). Davidovich Fokina made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Paul won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
---|---|---|
Won | 24 | 20 |
Converted | 24/54 | 20/39 |
% Converted | 44% | 51% |
Conceded | 18 | 36 |
Saved | 10 | 24 |
% Saved | 56% | 67% |
Times Broken | 8 | 12 |
The American broke his opponents 24 times with a 44% conversion rate. Paul lost his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
Paul | |||||
R1 O |
R2 Nishikori |
R3 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-75 7-5 | 6-73 6-0 6-3 6-1 | 7-60 6-2 6-0 | ||
Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
Tot Games | 49 | 35 | 27 | 111 | |
pts | 175-152 | 136-97 | 109-75 | 420-324 | |
Total points | 327 | 233 | 184 | 744 | |
Winners | 73 | 55 | 37 | 165 | |
%Winners | 42% | 40% | 34% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 15 | 8 | 7 | 30 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
1st in | 91/149 | 74/104 | 47/86 | 212/339 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 71% | 55% | 63% | |
1st pts | 73/91 | 55/74 | 37/47 | 165/212 | |
% 1st pts | 80% | 74% | 79% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 29/58 | 11/30 | 20/39 | 60/127 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 37% | 51% | 47% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24 | |
Converted | 6/20 | 11/18 | 7/16 | 24/54 | |
Converted % | 30% | 61% | 44% | 44% | |
Conceded | 8 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
Saved | 6/8 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 10 | |
Saved % | 75% | 20% | 60% | 52% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Davidovich Fokina | |||||
R1 Shang |
R2 Auger-Aliassime |
R3 Mensik |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-61 5-2 ret. | 6-77 6-75 6-4 6-1 6-3 | 3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 52 | 50 | 122 | |
pts | 82-65 | 175-153 | 150-148 | 407-366 | |
Total points | 147 | 328 | 298 | 773 | |
Winners | 21 | 78 | 74 | 173 | |
%Winners | 26% | 45% | 49% | 43% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
1st in | 30/58 | 112/176 | 108/156 | 250/390 | |
% 1st in | 52% | 64% | 69% | 64% | |
1st pts | 21/30 | 78/112 | 74/108 | 173/250 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 70% | 69% | 69% | |
2nd pts | 15/28 | 36/64 | 25/48 | 76/140 | |
% 2nd pts | 54% | 56% | 52% | 54% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 5 | 9 | 6 | 20 | |
Converted | 5/12 | 9/18 | 6/9 | 20/39 | |
Converted % | 42% | 50% | 67% | 51% | |
Conceded | 4 | 10 | 22 | 36 | |
Saved | 1/4 | 6/10 | 17/22 | 24 | |
Saved % | 25% | 60% | 77% | 54% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tommy PaulPaul (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-2) – H2H and prediction