Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.141
Jack Draper -> 5.65
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the 2nd round in London back in 2024.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz – London 20-June-2024
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz reached the 4th round after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 7-5 6-1, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-1 6-4 and Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4 6-7(3) 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 134 points vs Borges’s 112. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (56/67) of his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Borges 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (290-78). 3-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall100-27 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Spaniard has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-9 | 14-3 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 18, the Brit reached the 4th round after beating Mariano Navone 4-6 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-7(3) 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 2-6 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(8).
In the 3rd round, Draper had a tough win against Vukic to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68). During the match Draper scored 178 points vs Vukic’s 174. Draper was quite aggressive to blast 84 winners.
Talking about serving, Draper overpowered his opponent with 29 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jack Draper was quite effective on serve to win 75% (84/112) of his 1st serve and 52% (27/52) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 6 times. Draper broke Vukic 4 times after converting 22% of his break points (4/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Draper has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 153 |
| Pts | 316-221 | 509-484 |
| Total Points | 537 | 993 |
| Winners | 121 | 215 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Both Alcaraz and Draper played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Jack Draper conceded 6 sets. Alcaraz has played 5 set(s) less than Draper (10 vs 15). Therefore, Alcaraz played 65 games less than Draper. The Spaniard scored 121 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jack struck 215 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 54 |
| Avg per match | 9.7 | 18 |
| 1st in | 151/250 | 302/481 |
| %1st in | 60% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 121/151 | 215/302 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 63/99 | 99/179 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Alcaraz bagged 29 aces (9.7 per match). Draper fired 54 aces (18 per match). Alcaraz won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 16 |
| Converted | 19/42 | 16/46 |
| % Converted | 45% | 35% |
| Conceded | 7 | 38 |
| Saved | 5 | 24 |
| % Saved | 71% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 14 |
Carlos broke his opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Jack broke his opponents 16 times with a 35% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Shevchenko | R2 Nishioka | R3 Borges | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 6-1 | 6-0 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 23 | 39 | 88 | |
| pts | 102-68 | 80-41 | 134-112 | 316-221 | |
| Total points | 170 | 121 | 246 | 537 | |
| Winners | 33 | 32 | 56 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 9 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 48/81 | 36/60 | 67/109 | 151/250 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 60% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 32/36 | 56/67 | 121/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 89% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 17/24 | 24/42 | 63/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 71% | 57% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 8/19 | 6/10 | 5/13 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 60% | 38% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Draper | |||||
| R1 Navone | R2 Kokkinakis | R3 Vukic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-73 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 45 | 52 | 56 | 153 | |
| pts | 163-157 | 168-153 | 178-174 | 509-484 | |
| Total points | 320 | 321 | 352 | 993 | |
| Winners | 62 | 69 | 84 | 215 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 47% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 12 | 29 | 54 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 93/160 | 97/157 | 112/164 | 302/481 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 62% | 68% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 62/93 | 69/97 | 84/112 | 215/302 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 71% | 75% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/67 | 40/60 | 27/52 | 99/179 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 67% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 5/11 | 4/18 | 16/46 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 45% | 22% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 7 | 14 | 38 | |
| Saved | 12/17 | 4/7 | 8/14 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 57% | 57% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 4-6 7-67 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-60 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 2-6 5-7 7-65 7-68) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tommy PaulPaul (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-2) – H2H and prediction