Juan Pablo Varillas and Gonzalo Bueno will square off in the semifinal of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.44
Gonzalo Bueno -> 2.625
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Gonzalo Bueno
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Gonzalo Bueno square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in the Campinas Challenger back in 2024.
Juan Pablo Varillas
4 - 1win/loss
251
60
LWWWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 0-1 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 207, Pablo Patino-Samudio got to the semifinal after defeating Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-7(4) 7-5 6-4, Nicolas Kicker 7-6(6) 6-3 and Emilio Nava 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Juan had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-4 7-5). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 68 points vs Nava’s 63. Juan was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo Patino-Samudio broke Nava 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Peruvian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (358-235). 3-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall 331-191 match record in the last years on clay.
Juan has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Gonzalo Bueno
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 0-2 | 35-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-28 | 2-1 | 38-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Bueno got to the semifinal after defeating Ezequiel Monferrer 6-2 6-1, Gabriel Debru 0-6 6-2 6-3 and Murkel Dellien 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, The Peruvian had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Dellien Velasco (6-4 6-1). During the match Bueno scored 62 points vs Alejandro Dellien Velasco’s 50. Gonzalo was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Bueno scored 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Gonzalo Bueno lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bueno put 65% of his first serves in, winning 58% (19/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Peruvian broke Alejandro Dellien Velasco 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Peruvian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Peruvian has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bueno |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 55 |
| Pts | 276-255 | 204-168 |
| Total Points | 531 | 372 |
| Winners | 109 | 68 |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Bueno played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Juan Pablo Varillas conceded 1 set, while Gonzalo Bueno conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Pablo Patino-Samudio and Bueno have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 24 games more than Bueno. Juan scored 109 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Gonzalo struck 68 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bueno |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 157/272 | 111/178 |
| %1st in | 58% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 109/157 | 68/111 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 61/115 | 32/67 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 48% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 13 aces (4.3 per match). Bueno scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 69% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bueno won 61% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bueno |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 18 |
| Converted | 12/22 | 18/37 |
| % Converted | 55% | 49% |
| Conceded | 18 | 16 |
| Saved | 11 | 7 |
| % Saved | 61% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. Bueno conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||||
| R1 Carlos Prado Angelo |
R2 Kicker |
1/4 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-5 6-4 | 7-66 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 22 | 22 | 79 | |
| pts | 131-127 | 77-65 | 68-63 | 276-255 | |
| Total points | 258 | 142 | 131 | 531 | |
| Winners | 51 | 26 | 32 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 81/129 | 31/71 | 45/72 | 157/272 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 44% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 51/81 | 26/31 | 32/45 | 109/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 84% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 22/40 | 15/27 | 61/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/4 | 3/6 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 33% | 50% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Bueno | |||||
| R1 Monferrer |
R2 Debru |
1/4 Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 0-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 17 | 55 | |
| pts | 56-33 | 86-85 | 62-50 | 204-168 | |
| Total points | 89 | 171 | 112 | 372 | |
| Winners | 21 | 28 | 19 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 33% | 31% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 27/40 | 51/87 | 33/51 | 111/178 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 59% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 28/51 | 19/33 | 68/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 55% | 58% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 16/36 | 8/18 | 32/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 44% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/15 | 7/12 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 58% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/11 | 2/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 45% | 40% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWLL
LWWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires Challenger
- Luis Britto/Franco RoncadelliBritto/Franco Roncadelli – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (2-6 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
