Corentin Moutet and Learner Tien will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on Kia Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Learner Tien who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Learner Tien is the pick to win this match.
Learner Tien -> 1.68
Corentin Moutet -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Corentin Moutet vs. Learner Tien
There is no head to head record between Corentin Moutet and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Corentin Moutet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-12 | 6-4 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Moutet got to the 3rd round after beating Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Mitchell Krueger 4-6 6-4 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Krueger, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-63 6-4). During the match, Moutet and Krueger scored the same amount of points (142). However, the world no. 69 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 66 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moutet managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (66/97) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (24/50) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Krueger 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moutet has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Moutet has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (281-195). 2-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moutet has an overall 55-45 match record in the last years on hard.
The French player has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Learner Tien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-11 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-14 | 53-8 | 0-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-10 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Gregoire Barrere 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1, Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 6-2, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 5-7 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(8) 1-6 7-6(7).
In the 2nd round, Learner had a tough win against Medvedev to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 7-64 6-78 1-6 7-67).During the match Tien scored less points (6) than Medvedev. In fact, the world no. 69 won 182 points vs Medvedev’s. That means that Tien was more focused during the important points. Learner was exceptionally aggressive to blast 86 winners.
About the serving games, Tien scored 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Learner Tien lost the serve 10 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 71% of his first serves in, winning 61% (86/142) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (26/59) on the 2nd serve. Learner broke Medvedev 9 times after converting 60% of his break points (9/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 10 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Tien has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 17 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 176 |
| Pts | 288-264 | 595-549 |
| Total Points | 552 | 1144 |
| Winners | 120 | 252 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Moutet played 2 matches while Tien competed in 5 matches. Tien started his run from the qualifications while Moutet had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Corentin Moutet dropped 2 sets, while Learner Tien lost 5 sets. Moutet has played 9 set(s) less than Tien (8 vs 17). Therefore, Moutet played 94 games less than Tien. The French player scored 120 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tien struck 252 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 39 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 169/271 | 359/572 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 120/169 | 252/359 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 54/102 | 103/213 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 48% |
Moutet bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Tien fired 39 aces (7.8 per match). Moutet won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 27 |
| Converted | 10/30 | 27/54 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 21 | 56 |
| Saved | 14 | 35 |
| % Saved | 67% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 21 |
The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. Corentin surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 27 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 21 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moutet | ||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 43 | 82 | |
| pts | 146-122 | 142-142 | 288-264 | |
| Total points | 268 | 284 | 552 | |
| Winners | 54 | 66 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 72/124 | 97/147 | 169/271 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 54/72 | 66/97 | 120/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/52 | 24/50 | 54/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/19 | 5/11 | 10/30 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 45% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 5/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 56% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tien | ||||||||||||
| Q1 Barrere |
Q1 Barrere |
Q2 Pablo Ficovich |
Q2 Pablo Ficovich |
Q3 Kovalik |
Q3 Kovalik |
R1 Ugo |
R1 Ugo |
R2 Medvedev |
R2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-64 6-1 | 4-6 7-64 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 7-63 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 4-6 7-63 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 6-78 1-6 7-67 | 6-3 7-64 6-78 1-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 34 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 55 | 352 | |
| pts | 111-98 | 111-98 | 68-44 | 68-44 | 60-47 | 60-47 | 174-172 | 174-172 | 182-188 | 182-188 | 1190-1098 | |
| Total points | 209 | 209 | 112 | 112 | 107 | 107 | 346 | 346 | 370 | 370 | 2288 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 25 | 25 | 74 | 74 | 86 | 86 | 504 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | 47% | 47% | 42% | 42% | 43% | 43% | 47% | 47% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 78 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 72 | |
| 1st in | 50/98 | 50/98 | 37/51 | 37/51 | 28/54 | 28/54 | 102/168 | 102/168 | 142/201 | 142/201 | 718/1144 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | 73% | 73% | 52% | 52% | 61% | 61% | 71% | 71% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 35/50 | 32/37 | 32/37 | 25/28 | 25/28 | 74/102 | 74/102 | 86/142 | 86/142 | 504/718 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | 86% | 86% | 89% | 89% | 73% | 73% | 61% | 61% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 24/48 | 8/14 | 8/14 | 16/26 | 16/26 | 29/66 | 29/66 | 26/59 | 26/59 | 206/426 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 57% | 57% | 62% | 62% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 54 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 7/20 | 7/20 | 9/15 | 9/15 | 54/108 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 35% | 35% | 60% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 112 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9/13 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 7/14 | 7/14 | 14/24 | 14/24 | 70 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 377% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 42 | |
Head 2 Head
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