Daria Kasatkina and Yulia Putintseva will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yulia Putintseva who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yulia Putintseva is the pick to win this match.
Yulia Putintseva -> 1.85
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Yulia Putintseva
This will be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Yulia Putintseva fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kasatkina won 6-4 1-6 7-6(6) in the quarter in Ningbo back in 2024.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Yulia Putintseva – Ningbo 18-October-2024
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-19 | 10-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Viktoriya Tomova 6-1 6-3 and Yafan Wang 6-2 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Kasatkina had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-2 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 64 points vs Wang’s 40. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 63% of her first serves in, winning 62% (21/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Wang 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (304-194). 5-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has an aggregate 159-118 match record in the last years on hard.
Kasatkina has a composed 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Yulia Putintseva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-20 | 7-11 | 5-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-22 | 22-15 | 9-4 | 1-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-27 | 19-17 | 13-8 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-21 | 9-11 | 15-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-24 | 14-12 | 12-8 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23 (career-high), the Kazakhstani got to the 3rd round after defeating Elina Avanesyan 4-6 7-5 6-2 and Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Putintseva had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-2 6-1). During the match Putintseva scored 61 points vs Zhang’s 34. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about serving, Putintseva managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Yulia Putintseva was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (18/23) of her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Zhang 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Putintseva has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Yulia’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Putintseva has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016, 2020 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 45 |
| Pts | 127-78 | 161-121 |
| Total Points | 205 | 282 |
| Winners | 46 | 66 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Kasatkina and Putintseva played 2 matches. At the moment, Yulia Putintseva surrendered 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t lost a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Putintseva (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kasatkina played 15 games less than Putintseva. Darya scored 46 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Putintseva made 66 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 68/106 | 91/132 |
| %1st in | 64% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 46/68 | 66/91 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 26/38 | 18/41 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 44% |
Kasatkina bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Putintseva scored 4 aces (2 per match). Kasatkina won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Putintseva won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/22 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Saved | 11 | 1 |
| % Saved | 92% | 17% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Darya broke her opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Darya lost her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. Putintseva broke her opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Putintseva conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 17% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Tomova |
R2 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 | 30 | |
| pts | 63-38 | 64-40 | 127-78 | |
| Total points | 101 | 104 | 205 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/52 | 34/54 | 68/106 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 21/34 | 46/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 15/20 | 26/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 75% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/12 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 42% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 7/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Putintseva | ||||
| R1 Avanesyan |
R2 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 15 | 45 | |
| pts | 100-87 | 61-34 | 161-121 | |
| Total points | 187 | 95 | 282 | |
| Winners | 48 | 18 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 30% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 68/92 | 23/40 | 91/132 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 58% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 48/68 | 18/23 | 66/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 78% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/24 | 10/17 | 18/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 59% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/9 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 0% | 10% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Emma NavarroNavarro – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Jaqueline CristianCristian (3-0) – H2H and prediction
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