Jasmine Paolini and Elina Svitolina will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.54
Elina Svitolina -> 2.48

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Elina Svitolina

There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Elina Svitolina since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

4 - 1win/loss

Hard
4-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian got to the 3rd round after defeating Sijia Wei 6-0 6-4 and Renata Zarazua 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Zarazua (6-2 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 63 points vs Zarazua’s 44. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini scored 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Zarazua 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Paolini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (314-232). 4-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a compiled 108-87 record in the last years on hard.

The Italian has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Paolini's Record

Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina

2 - 0win/loss

Hard
2-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
14
High
3
LWLLLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-15 14-8 18-3 1-2 3-2 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 27, Svitolina got to the 3rd round after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-4 and Caroline Dolehide 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (6-1 6-4). During the match Svitolina scored 68 points vs Dolehide’s 50. Svitolina was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Svitolina managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elina Svitolina was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Elina broke Dolehide 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2019. See her history.

Australian Open
Svitolina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
E.Svitolina
2h:29
2h:29
Time on court​
2h:45
2h:45
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
1h:14
1h:14
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
37
37
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
131
131
Total points​
143
143
65.5
65.5
Avg point​
71.5
71.5
54
54
Winners
57
57
27
27
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
9
9
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
54/79
54/79
1st won total​
57/74
57/74
68%
68%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
17/33
17/33
2nd won total​
27/47
27/47
52%
52%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
10/20
10/20
BP won
6/22
6/22
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
3/11
3/11
50%
50%
Won
!
27%
27%
7
7
Conceded
10
10
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
5
5
3
3
Broken
1
1
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
4
4
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Svitolina
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 33 37
Pts 131-93 143-110
Total Points 224 253
Winners 54 57
%Winners 41% 40%

Both Paolini and Svitolina played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Paolini played 4 games less than Svitolina. Jasmine scored 54 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Elina blasted 57 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Svitolina
Aces 7 9
Avg per match 3.5 4.5
1st in 79/112 74/121
%1st in 71% 61%
1st pts 54/79 57/74
%1st pts 68% 77%
2nd pts 17/33 27/47
%2nd pts 52% 57%

Paolini blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Svitolina recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Paolini won 68% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Svitolina
Won 10 6
Converted 10/20 6/22
% Converted 50% 27%
Conceded 7 10
Saved 4 9
% Saved 57% 90%
Times Broken 3 1

Jasmine broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. Elina conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R1
Wei		 R2
Zarazua		 Total
Score 6-0 6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 17 33
pts 68-49 63-44 131-93
Total points 117 107 224
Winners 33 21 54
%Winners 49% 33% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 7
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 47/64 32/48 79/112
% 1st in 73% 67% 71%
1st pts 33/47 21/32 54/79
% 1st pts 70% 66% 68%
2nd pts 9/17 8/16 17/33
% 2nd pts 53% 50% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/9 6/11 10/20
Converted % 44% 55% 50%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 4/4 0/3 4
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 3 3
Svitolina
R1
Cirstea		 R2
Dolehide		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 17 37
pts 75-60 68-50 143-110
Total points 135 118 253
Winners 28 29 57
%Winners 37% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 9
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 33/57 41/64 74/121
% 1st in 58% 64% 61%
1st pts 28/33 29/41 57/74
% 1st pts 85% 71% 77%
2nd pts 12/24 15/23 27/47
% 2nd pts 50% 65% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/12 3/10 6/22
Converted % 25% 30% 27%
Conceded 2 8 10
Saved 1/2 8/8 9
Saved % 50% 100% 75%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
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Svitolina

Click for FULL STATS