Jasmine Paolini and Elina Svitolina will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.54
Elina Svitolina -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Elina Svitolina
There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Elina Svitolina since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian got to the 3rd round after defeating Sijia Wei 6-0 6-4 and Renata Zarazua 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Zarazua (6-2 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 63 points vs Zarazua’s 44. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini scored 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Zarazua 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Paolini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (314-232). 4-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a compiled 108-87 record in the last years on hard.
The Italian has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-15 | 14-8 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Svitolina got to the 3rd round after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-4 and Caroline Dolehide 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (6-1 6-4). During the match Svitolina scored 68 points vs Dolehide’s 50. Svitolina was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Svitolina managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elina Svitolina was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Elina broke Dolehide 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 37 |
| Pts | 131-93 | 143-110 |
| Total Points | 224 | 253 |
| Winners | 54 | 57 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Paolini and Svitolina played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Paolini played 4 games less than Svitolina. Jasmine scored 54 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Elina blasted 57 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 79/112 | 74/121 |
| %1st in | 71% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 54/79 | 57/74 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 27/47 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 57% |
Paolini blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Svitolina recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Paolini won 68% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 6 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 6/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 27% |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 57% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Jasmine broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. Elina conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Wei |
R2 Zarazua |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 33 | |
| pts | 68-49 | 63-44 | 131-93 | |
| Total points | 117 | 107 | 224 | |
| Winners | 33 | 21 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 33% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 47/64 | 32/48 | 79/112 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 67% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 21/32 | 54/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 66% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 8/16 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/11 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 55% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Svitolina | ||||
| R1 Cirstea |
R2 Dolehide |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 37 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 68-50 | 143-110 | |
| Total points | 135 | 118 | 253 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 41/64 | 74/121 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 29/41 | 57/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 71% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 15/23 | 27/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 65% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/10 | 6/22 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 30% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 8/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Madison KeysKeys – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Jaqueline CristianCristian (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-3) – H2H and prediction
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