Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on John Cain Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.095
Dayana Yastremska -> 7.2
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Dayana Yastremska
There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 15-7 | 8-2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Elena reached the 3rd round after beating Emerson Jones 6-1 6-1 and Iva Jovic 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Jovic (6-0 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 73 points vs Jovic’s 48. Elena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (22/30) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Rybakina broke Jovic 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 63% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (330-142). 5-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an overall 154-71 record in the last years on hard.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-22 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, the Ukrainian got to the 3rd round after defeating Mayar Sherif 6-1 6-4 and Danka Kovinic 6-0 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Yastremska had a good straight sets win against Kovinic (6-0 6-1). During the match Yastremska scored 53 points vs Kovinic’s 21. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Yastremska fired 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Dayana Yastremska was very effective on serve to win 71% (15/21) of her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Kovinic 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
D.Yastremska UKR D.Kovinic MNE
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yastremska hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 63% of the points she played.
Dayana has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 30 |
| Pts | 132-79 | 120-70 |
| Total Points | 211 | 190 |
| Winners | 40 | 44 |
| %Winners | 30% | 37% |
Both Rybakina and Yastremska played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Yastremska have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rybakina played 1 game less than Yastremska. The Kazakhstani scored 40 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian blasted 44 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 53/101 | 59/101 |
| %1st in | 52% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 40/53 | 44/59 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 27/42 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 64% |
Rybakina bagged 15 aces (7.5 per match). Yastremska struck 8 aces (4 per match). Rybakina won 75% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/18 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 56% | 64% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 86% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Elena surrendered her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Yastremska broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Ukrainian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R1 Jones |
R2 Jovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 29 | |
| pts | 59-31 | 73-48 | 132-79 | |
| Total points | 90 | 121 | 211 | |
| Winners | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 23/40 | 30/61 | 53/101 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 49% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 22/30 | 40/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 16/31 | 27/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/11 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 45% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Yastremska | ||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Kovinic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 13 | 30 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 53-21 | 120-70 | |
| Total points | 116 | 74 | 190 | |
| Winners | 29 | 15 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 28% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 21/35 | 59/101 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 15/21 | 44/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 11/14 | 27/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 79% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 6/7 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 86% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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