Jannik Sinner and Marcos Giron will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.034
Marcos Giron -> 11.75
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Marcos Giron face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 7-6(7) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Shanghai back in 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Marcos Giron – Shanghai 07-October-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-1 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sinner got to the 3rd round after beating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Schoolkate, Sinner recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 129 points vs Schoolkate’s 109. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner bagged 14 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 77% (48/62) of his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Schoolkate 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 74% of his matches (348-121). 2-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an overall140-46 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Jannik has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-12 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Giron got to the 3rd round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 2-6 7-5 6-1 7-5 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-5 3-6 7-5 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Giron had a tough win against Etcheverry to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 3-6 7-5 3-6 6-4). During the match Giron scored 161 points vs Etcheverry’s 155. Giron was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Talking about serving, Giron fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marcos Giron lost the serve 8 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 60% of his first serves in, winning 65% (64/98) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (34/65) on the 2nd serve. Marcos broke Etcheverry 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marcos has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Marcos has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 91 |
| Pts | 240-197 | 294-276 |
| Total Points | 437 | 570 |
| Winners | 96 | 112 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Sinner and Giron played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set, while Marcos Giron surrendered 3 sets. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Giron (7 vs 9). Therefore, Sinner played 22 games less than Giron. Jannik scored 96 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Giron recorded 112 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 120/201 | 168/279 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 96/120 | 112/168 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 51/81 | 59/111 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 53% |
Sinner fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Giron blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 15 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 15/37 |
| % Converted | 39% | 41% |
| Conceded | 3 | 27 |
| Saved | 2 | 14 |
| % Saved | 67% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 13 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Sinner dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. Giron conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R1 Jarry |
R2 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-65 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 36 | 69 | |
| pts | 111-88 | 129-109 | 240-197 | |
| Total points | 199 | 238 | 437 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 58/101 | 62/100 | 120/201 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 48/62 | 96/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/43 | 21/38 | 51/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/13 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Giron | ||||
| R1 Hanfmann |
R2 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 6-1 7-5 | 7-5 3-6 7-5 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 52 | 91 | |
| pts | 133-121 | 161-155 | 294-276 | |
| Total points | 254 | 316 | 570 | |
| Winners | 48 | 64 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 70/116 | 98/163 | 168/279 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 48/70 | 64/98 | 112/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 34/65 | 59/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Converted | 7/23 | 8/14 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 57% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 19 | 27 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 11/19 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 58% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLWWLLWLLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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