Federico Arnaboldi and Murphy Cassone will face off in the quarter of the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:30 am on COURT B. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Murphy Cassone who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Murphy Cassone is the pick to win this match.
Murphy Cassone -> 1.27
Federico Arnaboldi -> 3.48
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Prediction and head to head Federico Arnaboldi vs. Murphy Cassone
There is no head to head record between Federico Arnaboldi and Murphy Cassone since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Federico Arnaboldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 233, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Dmitry Popko 6-1 2-6 6-1 and Sho Shimabukuro 1-6 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Shimabukuro, Arnaboldi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-64 6-4).During the match, Arnaboldi scored less points (1) than Shimabukuro. In fact, the world no. 233 won 115 points vs Shimabukuro’s. That means that Arnaboldi was more focused during the important points. Federico was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaboldi blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve 6 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 69% of his first serves in, winning 56% (48/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the 2nd serve. Arnaboldi broke Shimabukuro 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Federico has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Arnaboldi has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (189-142). 2-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaboldi has a compiled26-16 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Federico has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
Arnaboldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Murphy Cassone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-9 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 306 (career-high), Murphy got to the quarter after beating Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 6-3, Enrico Dalla Valle w/o, Valentin Vacherot 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Murphy had a good straight sets win against Noguchi (6-3 6-4). During the match Cassone scored 62 points vs Noguchi’s 45. Cassone was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Cassone struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Murphy Cassone was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Noguchi twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Murphy started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger.
Cassone has a compiled 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaboldi | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 63 |
| Pts | 197-182 | 225-182 |
| Total Points | 379 | 407 |
| Winners | 77 | 108 |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% |
Arnaboldi played 2 matches while Cassone competed in 3 matches. Cassone started his run from the qualifications while Arnaboldi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Arnaboldi dropped 2 sets, while Murphy Cassone conceded 1 set. Arnaboldi has played 1 set(s) less than Cassone (6 vs 7). Therefore, Arnaboldi played 11 games less than Cassone. The Italian scored 77 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 108 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaboldi | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 135/209 | 154/226 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 77/135 | 108/154 |
| %1st pts | 57% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 40/74 | 41/72 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 57% |
Arnaboldi struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Cassone struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Arnaboldi won 57% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Cassone won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaboldi | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 11/16 |
| % Converted | 53% | 69% |
| Conceded | 26 | 19 |
| Saved | 17 | 15 |
| % Saved | 65% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 4 |
Federico broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Cassone broke his opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. Murphy conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaboldi | ||||
| R1 Popko |
R2 Shimabukuro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-6 6-1 | 1-6 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 30 | 52 | |
| pts | 82-66 | 115-116 | 197-182 | |
| Total points | 148 | 231 | 379 | |
| Winners | 29 | 48 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 49/84 | 86/125 | 135/209 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/49 | 48/86 | 77/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 56% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 20/39 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 51% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/8 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 14 | 26 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 8/14 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 57% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Cassone | ||||||
| Q1 Blancaneaux |
Q3 Dalla Valle |
R1 Vacherot |
R2 Noguchi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | w/o | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | – | 27 | 19 | 63 | |
| pts | 59-39 | – | 104-98 | 62-45 | 225-182 | |
| Total points | 98 | – | 202 | 107 | 407 | |
| Winners | 27 | – | 49 | 32 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 46% | – | 47% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | – | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/48 | – | 79/120 | 38/58 | 154/226 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | – | 66% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | – | 49/79 | 32/38 | 108/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | – | 62% | 84% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | – | 22/41 | 11/20 | 41/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | – | 54% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | – | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | – | 4/6 | 2/3 | 11/16 | |
| Converted % | 71% | – | 67% | 67% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 10 | 3 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | – | 7/10 | 3/3 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 70% | 100% | 127% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWLL
LWWWWLWWLW 
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